America’s Most Infamous Nuclear Site Returns to Fuel the AI Boom
Bloomberg Podcasts
0:00 So lots of detail in here about the rebirth to nuclear.
0:02 I wanna start with just what happened in 1979
0:05 and and that nuclear disaster here in The US.
0:08 I was, surprised to learn reading your story
0:11 that even people who had been exposed
0:14 in the area to what was released as a result of that, according to a study,
0:19 really only received as much radiation as would would happen in a chest X-ray.
0:23 Less, actually Less.
0:24 Than a chest X-ray.
0:26 Less.
0:26 Yeah.
0:27 It I mean, obviously,
0:28 it was a huge public relations disaster for the nuclear industry,
0:33 and that led to all kinds of heightened oversight,
0:37 new safety policies, lots of scrutiny.
0:41 It really slowed down the nuclear industry in The US,
0:45 and it was justifiably a disaster.
0:47 People were terrified.
0:48 Thousands and thousands of people fled the area.
0:51 But when they eventually, you know, went and studied it and measured it,
0:56 the amount of radiation that was released was not deadly.
0:59 It was not huge.
1:01 Mhmm.
1:01 But just the idea of radiation is terrifying everybody.
1:05 You can't see it.
1:06 You can't smell it.
1:07 You can't feel it, then you don't know what's happening.
1:10 It's scary.
1:11 And yet here we are in 2026, Will.
1:13 And I feel like in the last couple of years, we've done nothing.
1:16 I think about that NJIT event that we did,
1:19 and we did a panel of a stage and what they wanted to talk about.
1:22 '22, 2023?
1:23 It's a few years.
1:24 Yeah.
1:24 Nuclear.
1:24 And I think it caught us by surprise.
1:26 You've been talking about it and reporting it out here.
1:29 Is the whole difference just the big tech community,
1:32 the AI craze, and the demand for power?
1:34 Yeah.
1:35 Pretty much.
1:35 I mean, for a while,
1:37 nuclear was really kinda waning, but mostly because it's expensive.
1:41 It you know, these plants are big.
1:43 They're complicated.
1:43 They take a long time to build.
1:46 Like I just said, there's tons of scrutiny.
1:48 So they're expensive to build and operate.
1:50 So until about, like, 2019, 2020, 2022,
1:55 they were just shutting down for economic reasons.
2:00 They were just more expensive.
2:01 You could get cheap natural gas.
2:02 You get cheap wind and solar.
2:04 But now we need electricity, and it is.
2:08 It's big tech.
2:09 It's AI.
2:10 They need these data centers just need so much electricity,
2:13 and they want it as fast as they can get it,
2:17 and they want as much as they can get.
2:19 And nuclear can deliver a lot of power.
2:21 Well, you point out in the piece, this is not just about The United States.
2:24 I mean, there are countries all over the world
2:26 that moved away from from nuclear in Europe,
2:28 Japan after Fukushima, and now they've all changed their minds too.
2:33 They haven't all changed their minds.
2:34 Germany is Many of them have changed their minds.
2:36 Excuse me.
2:36 Thank you.
2:37 I've been tracking this for a long time.
2:39 There's been a huge reversal, and people really are starting to embrace nuclear.
2:43 It's I mean, not everyone in the world,
2:46 but it's really getting a lot of acceptance.
2:49 And I I should point out, I mean, there's 3 Mile Island.
2:53 There's Chernobyl.
2:54 There's Fukushima.
2:55 Mhmm.
2:55 That oh, that's it.
2:57 There have been three major accidents.
3:00 How does that compare to But but Chernobyl was really bad.
3:04 Chernobyl was really bad.
3:06 I wanna downplay.
3:06 It was really was really bad.
3:08 I mean, was really bad, but nobody died from radiation.
3:12 They died from the flooding.
3:13 But Chernobyl, like, we've seen, you know, that whole area, just nothing.
3:19 Because, you know, so when it goes bad, it goes bad.
3:22 When it goes bad, it goes bad big.
3:24 Yeah.
3:24 Which is why it is so heavily regulated.
3:27 And I we looked at some death statistics because I mean, let's be real.
3:31 Living on this planet will kill you.
3:33 If you live next to a coal power plant,
3:35 you're probably, you know, more likely to get asthma.
3:37 Natural gas has things.
3:39 Everything is dangerous.
3:41 So then how do you quantify that danger and those dangers
3:44 from burning fossil fuels to produce electricity to, using nuclear energy?
3:49 There's been some studies, and they really do come down.
3:52 Like, coal has a lot more deaths per, like, terawatt hour power produced.
3:57 Natural gas has more deaths.
4:00 Nuclear power, even including the deaths from Chernobyl,
4:03 much, much lower on the scale.
4:05 I'm gonna just randomly say this, but I'm assuming you get into a car
4:09 and you might probably are more likely to get in an accident Oh, yeah.
4:13 Than a nuclear.
4:14 So That's what I mean.
4:15 This planet is dangerous for us.
4:17 What I wanna ask you about is Microsoft, its vast power needs,
4:19 and this is kind of like the subtitle on the story
4:22 and how it's bringing together two transformative and risky technologies.
4:24 Will I always get nervous when there is such demand and a rush
4:28 in need for something that I wonder
4:30 if people get sloppy in the development process.
4:33 Now I realize everybody's gotta be careful because if there's one problem,
4:36 it will shut down the industry again, probably.
4:39 Certainly The US.
4:41 Question.
4:41 Okay.
4:41 So what what's going on that's risky?
4:46 That's a good question.
4:48 Yeah.
4:48 I mean It it I mean, like you said, Chernobyl was indeed a catastrophe.
4:53 With nuclear I've been to several nuclear plants,
4:56 and everywhere I go, it is just so carefully monitored and screened.
5:02 But let you know, radiation does have, you know,
5:06 the potential to be dangerous, so you have to be careful.
5:09 What go ahead, Tim.
5:10 Well, what I noticed in your piece was
5:13 that there there was this idea that electricity
5:17 demand had kind of peaked because we
5:19 had become more efficient with with energy usage.
5:21 LED bulbs were, you know, actually a part of that pre 2019.
5:25 Mhmm.
5:25 And then this happened.
5:27 And and and by this, I mean, the demand for for AI.
5:31 And I'm wondering about the possibility of overbuilding here because but what
5:35 if it turns out that all of these technologies do become more efficient?
5:39 Because that's the big that's the big bottleneck right now.
5:42 So you have to think that that's what everybody is working toward,
5:45 making this stuff more efficient.
5:46 What happens if we overbuild here and we we just shoot too far?
5:48 We've but then we spent a lot of money.
5:51 Yeah.
5:51 That that's the question that we've been talking about.
5:53 So, I mean, power demand in The US has pretty much been flat for, like,
5:57 twenty something years, and now it's going up.
6:00 Like, the projections are insane on how much power we're going be in the show.
6:06 Projections are projections, though.
6:07 Exactly.
6:07 So, I mean, like, here in, like, second quarter twenty twenty six,
6:12 it's not crazy higher than a year ago,
6:14 but the forecast through 2030 and 2035, they are.
6:18 But, yeah, we AI is brand new.
6:20 This is like a trend I've been following for about two years.
6:23 But if they come up with a way to make it
6:26 more energy efficient all of a sudden, that is a concern.
6:29 And people are, like,
6:31 allocating billions and billions of dollars for power plants.
6:34 And if they overspend, well, we'll see it in the stock price.
6:39 The next generation, though, just to to wrap up here.
6:41 We've talked about the SMRs, the small modular reactors.
6:43 This kind of next generation of technologies.
6:45 Right now, we're doing a lot of, like, reef right?
6:48 Like, existing facilities getting up and running.
6:51 There's three.
6:51 So how long is that, and is that gonna be even more efficient, more safer?
6:56 But what's the timeline?
6:58 The timeline on SMRs is I'm gonna go with, like,
7:01 early twenty thirties, maybe a couple before 2030.
7:04 There's dozens of companies that are working on them.
7:07 There's, like, maybe a half dozen company I
7:09 could name that are making really solid progress, and they're not that far away.
7:13 Right.
7:14 But it's gonna take some time.
7:16 And the first ones are not gonna be cheap.