The Year Without a Summer (1816 to 1824)
Historia Civilis
0:00 It was 1816, and after almost 25 years of unrelenting warfare,
0:05 Europe had been at peace for one year.
0:09 The reprieve had been a blessing.
0:13 In England, one could see a familiar sight.
0:16 The wind was still bitterly cold and the sky was still grey,
0:20 but the snow was finally starting to retreat
0:23 from the hills and the trees had just begun to bloom.
0:26 Farmers shuffled about in their fields,
0:29 fretting over whether they planted too early.
0:31 They took inventory of their winter stores,
0:34 and wondered if they might go hungry before the first harvest came in.
0:39 These were all normal sights for the early spring,
0:42 but this year, something had gone terribly wrong.
0:46 This was all happening in June.
0:52 They called 1816 “The Year Without
0:59 a Summer.” It happened for complicated reasons,
1:03 but basically there was an unlucky combination of volcanic eruptions
1:07 that altered global weather patterns for 2 or 3 years.
1:11 In some parts of the world the changes
1:13 were relatively minor and went by unnoticed,
1:16 but in others, the changes were catastrophic.
1:19 In Europe, they happened to be catastrophic.
1:23 That July turned out to be the coldest July on record.
1:27 That summer turned out to be the coldest summer on record.
1:31 That decade of the 1810s would be the coldest decade in 500 years,
1:35 all the way back to the 1300s.
1:38 You might be thinking to yourself “okay,
1:41 so it was unusually cold,” but the problem waosn’t that it was cold.
1:46 The problem was that nothing grew.
1:49 Most plants don’t really grow unless the temperature is above 10°C.
1:54 In London, England, it’s below 10° for about 66 days on the average year.
2:00 In 1816, it was below 10° for 146 days,
2:05 which meant that there were significant non-growing periods
2:08 scattered throughout the spring and even the summer.
2:12 That fact alone would have been bad enough, but there was another issue.
2:16 The changes to the weather caused most
2:20 of Europe to be unusually overcast and rainy.
2:23 Farmers in France usually had to deal with 8
2:26 days of rain per month in the summer.
2:29 In 1816, they had 20 days of rain per month.
2:33 In England, crops had just begun to sprout
2:36 when they got 8 straight weeks of rain.
2:40 The rain led to flooding, and wherever there was flooding, crops failed.
2:44 Northern France and the Netherlands basically turned into one giant swamp.
2:51 On average, the cold temperatures and the rain pushed
2:54 the harvest one month later than it should have been.
2:57 In France, it was more like 2 months.
3:00 Farmers relied on early harvests to replenish their stores
3:03 and get them through the summer, but this year,
3:07 with the harvest pushed back a month or more,
3:10 you instead saw widespread famine in the early summer.
3:13 It became common to see people picking through
3:16 abandoned fields that had been lost to flood,
3:19 eating unripened or rotten plants straight out of the mud.
3:25 This was how Europe’s century of peace began.
3:29 After 25 years of war,
3:31 after sending an entire generation of young men into the meat grinder,
3:36 people were reduced to picking through the fields for rotten food.
3:41 What was it all for?
3:43 The environmental catastrophe was nobody’s fault,
3:46 but people were furious at their own governments for allowing this to happen.
3:51 And nowhere were they more furious than in France.
4:03 France was broke, the people were starving,
4:05 and the country was in the middle of an environmental catastrophe.
4:10 The restored King Louis XVIII had come to power promising
4:13 to lift a bunch of unpopular taxes on the poor,
4:16 but he was immediately forced to break that promise.
4:20 The grumbling began immediately.
4:23 Conditions in France had never been this bad under Napoleon.
4:28 As part of the compromise that restored the King to power,
4:31 France operated under a new Liberal constitution.
4:35 But the constitution was weak.
4:38 France now held regular elections,
4:39 but the King had the power to throw out the results whenever he wished.
4:44 His ministers did not answer to the public, they answered to him.
4:49 This actually made the new system weak and fragile.
4:53 Say what you will about the British system,
4:55 but at least the British Prime Minister took most of the heat.
4:58 If things were going really badly,
5:00 replacing the Prime Minister was an uncomplicated and yet meaningful act.
5:06 Now the French had a Prime Minister too,
5:08 but their Prime Minister was just an extension of the King’s will.
5:12 If things were going really badly,
5:14 replacing the Prime Minister would not be enough.
5:17 They may need to replace the King.
5:21 The restored King Louis XVIII wisely selected a centrist
5:26 Liberal named Richelieu as his first Prime Minister.
5:30 The centrists in France at this time
5:32 were extremely supportive of the new French Constitution,
5:35 were comfortable with many of the reforms of the French Revolution,
5:40 and also favoured the restoration of the monarchy.
5:43 They were trying to split the difference between the Ultra-Conservatives,
5:47 who favoured increasing the power of the King and the aristocracy,
5:51 and the Republicans, who wanted to disseminate more power to the people
5:56 and continue the work of the French Revolution.
6:00 The King favoured the Ultra-Conservatives,
6:02 but he correctly assessed that there would be a popular
6:05 uprising if he came out of the gates pushing their agenda.
6:09 The centrists would have to do for now.
6:14 The selection of Richelieu was perhaps the wisest decision the King ever made.
6:20 Richelieu was a steady hand, and inspired trust abroad.
6:25 In 1818, he successfully negotiated with the Great Powers
6:29 for the removal of the armies that were occupying France,
6:33 and for the end of France’s reparation payments.
6:37 In only 3 years, Richelieu had returned France
6:41 to its rightful place as an equal Great Power,
6:45 and it had all been done diplomatically.
6:48 France didn’t even have to fight a war
6:51 to re-establish itself on the international stage.
6:54 A small miracle.
6:57 But Richelieu was not rewarded for his hard work.
7:01 For 3 years in a row,
7:04 the French Republican Left made substantial gains in their annual elections.
7:10 The King was forced to dismiss Richelieu in favour
7:12 of a Prime Minister that could draw support from the Republicans.
7:17 Obviously this went against everything that the King stood for, and without
7:21 the King’s support this new Prime Minister
7:24 was not able to achieve anything meaningful.
7:26 Let’s pause here for now.
7:30 France had successfully re-integrated itself back into the international system
7:35 by forging a moderate path led by centrist Liberals like Richelieu.
7:41 France’s politics had settled around
7:44 a grand compromise between the royalist Ultra-Conservatives,
7:48 the Liberal centrists, and the Radical Republicans.
7:52 France would have a monarchy, and a Liberal Constitution,
7:56 and it would keep the reforms of the French Revolution.
8:01 France would have an aristocracy, but it would also have elections.
8:05 It wasn’t quite a democracy yet, but it was on that path.
8:10 Hold all of this in your head because
8:17 it will become important in a future video.
8:23 While Liberalism was taking hold in France,
8:26 that wasn’t necessarily true in the rest of continental Europe.
8:31 Over in the newly formed German Confederation,
8:33 German Nationalism was on the rise,
8:35 and the other Great Powers were getting nervous.
8:39 The two German Great Powers had different
8:42 reactions to the Nationalist movements within their borders.
8:46 In the multi-ethnic Austrian Empire, the instinct was to tamp it down.
8:51 In the mostly German-speaking Prussia, they decided to lean into it.
8:57 The King of Prussia sent Hardenberg, his Prime Minister and Foreign Minister,
9:01 to meet with Metternich, the Chancellor and Foreign Minister of Austria.
9:07 The Prussians wanted to reform the German Confederation,
9:10 to which both Prussia and Austria were members.
9:14 Riding the wave of German Nationalism,
9:17 the Prussians wanted to revive talks of a united German Empire,
9:21 uniting the German-speaking peoples of central Europe under one state.
9:27 This new state would instantly become a new Great Power,
9:30 with enough strength on their own to rival France.
9:35 Hardenberg proposed that Prussia and Austria
9:38 roll their territory into this new Empire, but if that proved to be impossible,
9:44 he alternately proposed that they could create a smaller
9:47 German Empire from the various small German states.
9:52 In this scenario, Prussia and Austria could remain independent and control
9:57 this new smaller German Empire as allies from the outside.
10:02 Metternich was horrified by this idea.
10:05 After such careful and difficult negotiation at the Congress
10:09 of Vienna to create the German Confederation,
10:11 Prussia wanted to blow it all up after only 3 years?
10:16 Why?
10:17 What was wrong with how the Confederation was working?
10:20 The German states had agreed to band together
10:23 for military defense and to resist outside meddling.
10:27 It was working.
10:28 Central Europe was at peace.
10:30 Prussia and Austria had the strength and the leverage
10:33 to force their tiny German allies to do whatever they wished.
10:37 Wasn’t that enough?
10:40 Why on Earth would Prussia want to start negotiations all over again?
10:45 Metternich’s analytical mind went to work.
10:49 Both Prussia and Austria controlled
10:52 substantial Polish-speaking provinces in the east.
10:55 If their new German Empire was home to a large Polish population,
11:00 it’s obvious what would happen next, isn’t it?
11:03 Poland would ask to join the German Empire.
11:07 Don’t you think the Tsar of Russia would have something to say about that?
11:11 The Tsar of Russia was the King of Poland,
11:13 he had threatened a war in order to pull
11:16 Poland into Russia’s sphere of influence only 3 years earlier.
11:20 The new German Empire would instantly be on the brink of war.
11:25 To what purpose?
11:27 Because a bunch of young Germans in Berlin got caught up in the nationalist
11:31 mood of the moment and thought that a German Empire sounded cool?
11:36 What a mess.
11:38 In order to appease Hardenberg and the German Nationalists back in Prussia,
11:44 Metternich proposed some minor reforms to the existing German Confederation so
11:48 that it might feel a little more like a unified Empire.
11:53 The Confederation would operate a federal
11:56 secret police to monitor any revolutionary activity.
12:00 To the same end, freedom of the press would
12:02 be standardized across the different German states and heavily restricted.
12:07 Similarly, student associations at Universities,
12:10 traditionally a friendly home to revolutionary thought,
12:14 would be outlawed across the Confederation.
12:17 To allow for all of this, the Confederation as a whole would now be able
12:21 to force individual states to modify their domestic
12:24 laws in the name of preserving order.
12:27 Of course in practice these modifications would not
12:30 be coming out of the small German states.
12:33 The modifications would be coming out of Prussia or Austria.
12:38 All of these reforms have a certain flavour to them, don’t they?
12:42 Metternich was the conservative architect of the post-war order,
12:46 and it’s clear where his priorities lay.
12:50 His singular focus was on preventing
12:53 a French-style Revolution from breaking out in Germany.
12:56 An understandable fear having just lived through 25 years of war,
13:00 but I would argue that it was a preoccupation that drove him to distraction.
13:06 We have the advantage of knowing what would happen in the future,
13:10 and we know that debate over a potential German Empire
13:14 would be one of the key questions of the 19th century.
13:18 Metternich had no way of knowing this, but there
13:21 would be 3 wars fought over this issue,
13:23 to say nothing of what happened in the 20th century, my God.
13:27 I have no idea if Metternich’s intervention
13:30 at this point could have prevented any of those wars,
13:33 but I do know that Metternich was a lot smarter than me,
13:36 and when presented with this problem, he totally shrugged it off.
13:40 He was so distracted thinking about 18th century France
13:44 that he wasn’t really thinking about 19th century Germany.
13:55 As part of the 1815 post-war settlement, Austria got control of Northern Italy.
14:02 As the Austrians moved into Northern Italy,
14:06 it fundamentally altered their national priorities.
14:09 Before the war, Austria had been a pretty conservative and inward-looking power.
14:15 Northern Italy turned Austria into an occupier and a colonizer.
14:20 A role that Austria was ill-equipped to handle.
14:23 Historian Paul W.
14:25 Schroeder argued that Austria’s expansion into Northern
14:29 Italy “forced Austria to lead and organize Italy,
14:33 yet did not really empower her to do so.” Austria had to pump Italy
14:38 for taxes just to offset the massive costs of occupying it in the first place.
14:44 It was like a snake eating its own tail.
14:46 The more difficult the occupation became, the more they taxed.
14:50 The more they taxed, the more difficult the occupation became.
14:54 Metternich was the mastermind of the occupation of Italy,
14:59 and as the occupation began to deteriorate,
15:02 he began to micromanage Italy’s domestic policies.
15:06 Another distraction.
15:07 He brought in a wave of Germans
15:10 from Austria to help administer the Italian occupation,
15:14 which only further alienated the Italians
15:16 and made the situation deteriorate even further.
15:19 On the one hand, he was telling the German
15:22 administrators to defer to the Italians whenever possible,
15:25 while on the other hand he was
15:28 having the Austrian bureaucracy micromanage everything from Vienna.
15:32 Colonization makes hypocrites of us all.
15:40 Dissent was growing, and soon Austria found itself sitting atop
15:45 a genuine nationalist movement calling for Italian unification.
15:50 This was way more than the Austrians had bargained for.
15:54 Metternich set up a robust spy network targeting Italian Nationalists,
15:58 but this did not make the Austrians any more popular.
16:02 Even the more moderate Italians who were willing to tolerate
16:06 the Austrian occupation began calling for a Liberal Italian Constitution.
16:11 This was not a thing that the conservative icon Metternich could contemplate.
16:17 Even geopolitically, the occupation of Italy made a mess of things for Austria.
16:23 The Italian Kingdom of Piedmont had been set up as kind of a neutral
16:27 buffer state so that Austria and France didn’t have to share a border,
16:32 but Austrian paranoia over Italian Nationalism and their goonish
16:37 spy network had soured relations with their Italian neighbour.
16:42 For their own protection,
16:44 Piedmont sought to establish deeper relations with France.
16:48 This sent the Austrians into a paranoid tailspin.
16:52 The French were establishing a beachhead in Italy, in Austria’s backyard.
16:56 Were the French behind the rising tide of Italian Nationalism?
17:00 The occupation of Italy had made Austria totally neurotic.
17:05 This was a lesson that every Great Power
17:09 would have to learn in the 19th century.
17:12 The Austrian expansion into Italy may have looked good on a map,
17:16 but the occupation did not generate any income,
17:20 did not increase Austrian military prowess,
17:22 and did not benefit Austria geopolitically.
17:25 In the end, it was a total distraction from the important
17:30 issues in Europe that were threatening the fragile peace.
17:34 With Metternich up to his eyeballs with problems of his own making,
17:38 it would fall to others to prevent the next Great Power Conflict.
17:43 The post-war international order faced its first major test in the early 1820s.
17:56 The King of Spain, restored to power after the defeat of Napoleon,
17:59 turned out to be an absolutist ruler in the old 18th century style.
18:06 This turned out to be a problem.
18:08 Eighteenth century Spain was dead and gone.
18:11 When Napoleon was in power he imposed a Liberal constitution upon Spain,
18:17 one that granted real political rights to its citizens.
18:21 Virtually all adult men were given the right to vote,
18:24 and with this change, political life within Spain flourished for the first time.
18:30 Elections, newspapers, political debate,
18:31 all of these things popped up within a few years, and the people loved it.
18:37 So when the absolutist Spanish King was restored to the throne,
18:41 his first move was to tear up the Spanish Constitution
18:45 and return things to how they had been in the 18th century.
18:50 The Spanish Legislature,
18:51 which was full of proud Spanish Liberals who loved their new Constitution,
18:57 were extremely vocal in their opposition.
19:00 Radical Republicans and Revolutionaries quickly joined
19:03 forces with the more moderate Liberals,
19:06 which created a genuine political movement.
19:09 Pretty soon, even generals in the Royal Army were coming
19:12 out in support of the Liberal Legislature and the Constitution.
19:17 The King was losing control of the country.
19:20 Virtually overnight, Spain was on the brink of civil war.
19:30 At the urging of his advisors,
19:33 the King reluctantly- very reluctantly- stepped back from his position.
19:39 He would sign onto the Liberal Constitution.
19:41 The King of Spain would become significantly less powerful,
19:44 and most of the business of the country
19:47 would be run through the Spanish Legislature,
19:49 which would be freely elected by the people.
19:52 Spain would become one of the most Liberal countries in Europe,
19:57 with stronger political institutions than even Britain.
20:02 The King said all of that, but he lied.
20:06 Instead, he began exerting his power by vetoing every
20:09 little thing that came out of the Liberal Spanish legislature.
20:14 He fired all of his elected Liberal ministers and replaced
20:18 them with unelected men who were loyal only to him.
20:22 He then appealed to the 5 Great Powers and called for an international
20:27 coalition to march into Spain and restore him to his full powers.
20:32 A civil war now seemed inevitable, and by making an international appeal,
20:38 the Spanish King was taking an awful risk.
20:41 Once the Great Powers got involved,
20:43 Spain could turn into the arena for the next Great Power Conflict.
20:47 The country could be destroyed.
20:55 Inspired by the courage and the success of the Spanish Liberals,
20:59 there were uprisings in Naples and Piedmont,
21:02 calling for Liberal Constitutions of their own.
21:06 This movement had jumped international borders,
21:08 which freaked out the Great Powers.
21:11 It was their worst fears realized.
21:14 It reminded them of the French Revolution.
21:17 Everybody needed to be careful here.
21:20 Metternich was particularly freaked out by the uprisings,
21:24 not only because of his conservative ideology,
21:27 but also because the countries in revolt happened to be Austria’s neighbours.
21:32 In correspondence with the other Great Powers,
21:35 he expressed his fears that this may spark a wave of Revolution across Europe.
21:41 Since Italy was in Austria’s sphere of influence,
21:44 the other Great Powers agreed to give Austria a free
21:48 hand to deal with the uprisings however they wished.
21:51 In 1821, Austria marched into the Kingdom of the Two Sicilies
21:55 to the south and the Kingdom of Piedmont-Sardinia to the west.
21:59 In both cases they came to the rescue of the existing Conservative regimes.
22:04 In short order, they put down the uprisings that were calling for new,
22:09 Spanish-style Liberal Constitutions.
22:11 The copycat uprisings were resolved, but the central problem of Spain remained.
22:23 Of all of the Great Powers,
22:25 Britain greeted the calls for a Spanish intervention with the most skepticism.
22:29 The Liberals in the British
22:31 Parliament wholeheartedly supported the Spanish Liberals,
22:34 but even the British Conservatives were sympathetic to their cause.
22:39 They had gone through their own crisis with the monarchy in the 17th century,
22:44 and even the most hardcore Conservatives believed
22:46 that Britain was better off for it.
22:49 They viewed what was happening in Spain as a part of a natural
22:53 political evolution that every country must go through at some point.
22:57 The Conservatives were in government in Britain,
23:00 and the Conservative Foreign Secretary,
23:02 Castlereagh, was dead set against any Spanish intervention.
23:07 He publicly declared that he had never intended the Quadruple Alliance,
23:11 by which he meant the 4 Great Powers that had brought down Napoleonic France,
23:16 to be a “union for the government of the world
23:20 or for the superintendence of the internal affairs
23:24 of other states.” He argued that the Spanish situation
23:27 was not a threat to the peace in Europe.
23:31 Prime Minister Liverpool agreed.
23:36 The Emperor of Russia, Tsar Alexander, was on the opposite end of the spectrum.
23:41 He believed that the uprising in Spain
23:44 was the result of a coordinated international conspiracy,
23:48 and that this conspiracy was an active threat to European stability.
23:54 He was fully prepared to mobilize the Russian army and march
23:57 it all the way across Europe in support of the Spanish King.
24:04 This freaked everybody out even more than the uprisings in Italy did.
24:09 Nobody- and I mean nobody- wanted this.
24:14 Metternich was particularly disturbed.
24:16 He wanted to restore the Spanish King to his full powers,
24:19 but not if it meant having the Russian army muddy their boots all over Europe.
24:26 For some time, nobody was quite sure what to do about Spain.
24:35 The Great Powers were all afraid to do anything,
24:37 and hoped that maybe Spain would just come to a compromise on their own.
24:44 During this pause, something unexpected happened.
24:50 British Foreign Secretary Castlereagh unexpectedly took his own life.
24:54 He was replaced by a politician named George Canning.
24:59 Internationally, the news came as a thunderbolt.
25:04 Castlereagh and Metternich had a special relationship,
25:06 and the two were kinda the co-authours of the post-war international system.
25:12 Now Metternich was on his own.
25:14 He had no idea how this new
25:21 fellow Canning might approach the post-war settlement.
25:27 This news was equally distressing to Britain’s political class.
25:32 The current government was a moderate Conservative government,
25:35 and Castlereagh had been thought of as a pragmatic
25:38 Conservative that had good relations with the British Liberals.
25:43 Canning had a different reputation.
25:44 He was known as a Conservative-Conservative, kind of an attack dog,
25:50 rabidly ideological and not that well disposed
25:53 toward the moderates currently leading the government.
25:56 Castlereagh and Canning never really saw eye-to-eye.
26:00 In fact, Castlereagh… um, how do you say this, shot him.
26:06 Things got so heated at one point during
26:09 the war that the two exchanged pistol shots.
26:11 Canning lost.
26:13 So you can understand everybody’s surprise when
26:17 Canning replaced his longtime enemy as Foreign Secretary.
26:21 Many legitimately wondered whether Canning would tear up all
26:24 of Castlereagh’s peace agreements and throw British foreign policy into chaos.
26:31 But everybody was wrong about Canning.
26:35 Everybody.
26:36 In the immortal words of Robert Caro, power doesn’t corrupt, it reveals.
26:42 What did Canning’s newfound power reveal about him?
26:47 Well, before Castlereagh’s death, Castlereagh had been consumed with the project
26:52 of disentangling Britain from continental European affairs.
26:56 Castlereagh didn’t want to be sending the British army all over Europe to put
26:59 down minor uprisings from people that were
27:02 only asking for quite sensible reforms.
27:04 To the surprise of all of his contemporaries,
27:08 the supposed ideological attack dog Canning shared that vision.
27:12 No armies in Europe.
27:14 In fact, Canning went even further.
27:17 He shared Castlereagh’s belief that British prosperity depended
27:20 upon how well they did out in the colonies,
27:24 but unlike Castlereagh, he thought that trade, rather than colonialism,
27:29 was really the thing that set Britain apart.
27:32 Colonies were only useful in so far as they facilitated trade,
27:35 they were not an end unto themselves.
27:38 To that end, British interests lay in the pursuit of peace.
27:44 Peace facilitated trade, and trade made Britain prosperous.
27:49 Unlike his predecessor, Canning was agnostic when it came to the colonies,
27:54 and outright noninterventionist when it came to war.
27:58 This makes Canning pretty unique in an era
28:01 that was dominated by colonial obsession.
28:04 Colonialism can make a country prosperous, but it can also be a trap.
28:09 Canning was one of the few people who could see this clearly.
28:14 There is one other thing that set Canning apart.
28:16 He was a deeply committed slavery abolitionist.
28:20 This didn’t make his life any easier,
28:22 it was a controversial stance for a British Conservative to take,
28:26 and in fact most abolitionists lived in the Liberal Whig party.
28:30 Canning just felt it deep in his bones, which makes him cool,
28:33 or at least as cool as a 19th century British politician can be.
28:38 British politicians of this era liked to talk
28:41 a big game when it came to political rights,
28:44 but unlike many of his contemporaries,
28:47 including his predecessor Castlereagh, Canning wasn’t a goddamned hypocrite.
28:58 Canning had just become Foreign Secretary
29:01 when the Spanish Crisis finally boiled over.
29:04 In 1823 the Spanish Legislature,
29:06 backed by the military, removed the King from power.
29:10 The victorious Spanish Republicans got very excited by this move,
29:15 and began calling for a Revolutionary Spanish Republic.
29:20 This was bad.
29:21 A Spanish Revolution so soon after the French Revolution
29:24 threatened to plunge all of Europe into war again.
29:28 The Great Powers would have preferred to sit back
29:30 and wait for Spain to resolve its own crisis,
29:33 but they couldn’t ignore this development.
29:36 France acted first.
29:38 After briefly consulting with the other Great Powers,
29:41 the Conservative King of France sent the French Army into Spain.
29:46 Every other Great Power signed off on this intervention.
29:50 Everyone except Britain.
29:53 Metternich signed off on the intervention, but he wasn’t happy about it.
29:56 The international system was on the brink of collapse.
30:00 One false move now and all of Europe would be at war.
30:10 France restored the Spanish King to the throne,
30:12 and then urged him to hammer out a compromise with the Spanish Liberals.
30:17 This was their big plan to resolve the crisis.
30:20 Give the King everything he wanted,
30:22 and then say “pretty please will you do the thing that you
30:25 have been refusing to do all along?” Why would he do that?
30:30 It was an incoherent plan, and it turned out to be a catastrophic failure.
30:36 Having received from the French everything he wanted,
30:39 the Spanish King refused to even meet with his political opponents.
30:44 Not only that, but now the Spanish Liberals, Republicans,
30:48 and Revolutionaries knew that there could
30:50 be no political solution to this crisis.
30:53 Any negotiated settlement would just be thrown out
30:56 by the Spanish King and the French Army.
30:58 Now the only way forward was through force of arms.
31:03 It really was a bone-headed move by the French.
31:07 They had hoped to force a compromise, but instead,
31:10 they had picked sides in a civil war
31:13 and were now stuck occupying parts of Spain.
31:21 This was the first great test for the new British Foreign Secretary Canning.
31:25 In a speech before Parliament,
31:27 he reaffirmed British neutrality over this matter,
31:31 but noted at the end of his speech that he dearly hoped that the Spanish
31:36 Liberals would be victorious in their struggle against
31:39 the tyrannical Spanish King and the French Army.
31:43 This was a shocking statement to the other Great Powers.
31:46 They had all assumed that they were all on the same page, but apparently not!
31:51 Apparently the conservative government in Britain was sympathetic
31:54 to the Spanish Liberals and Republicans and Revolutionaries!
31:58 It was a clever move by Canning.
32:01 It sent a strong signal to the other
32:03 powers that they could not necessarily count
32:06 on British support if they wanted to march
32:09 all over Europe putting down Liberal uprisings.
32:12 If they pulled a stunt like this again,
32:14 they might find Britain on the other side of the fight.
32:18 British Liberals, who up until now had looked at Canning with trepidation,
32:23 heaped praise upon the Conservative Foreign Secretary for orienting
32:28 Britain as a defender of Liberal movements all across Europe.
32:33 British Liberals were now confident that they had
32:36 one of their own in the Foreign Office.
32:38 Out on the streets, the people rushed to support Canning’s declaration.
32:43 Only 8 years after the end of the Napoleonic Wars,
32:47 the question on everybody’s mind was would
32:50 France’s recklessness lead to another Great Power Conflict?
32:55 The consensus on the streets was that by standing up to France and those other
33:00 European tyrants who were eager to invade
33:03 their neighbours over petty political disputes,
33:05 Canning was the only person working to prevent another war.
33:10 This made him unexpectedly popular with the British people.
33:15 Before the speech, there had been
33:17 a whisper campaign to remove Canning from power.
33:19 After the speech, he was untouchable.
33:30 In the midst of all the chaos,
33:33 something special was happening out in the Spanish colonies.
33:36 In rapidfire succession, the following Spanish colonies declared independence.
33:42 Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, and Peru.
33:47 Ecuador, Bolivia, and Uruguay would declare independence a little bit later,
33:51 as would the Portuguese colony of Brazil.
33:55 South America was having a moment, you might say.
33:59 While all of this was going on, the Spanish King, backed by France,
34:04 predictably refused to negotiate with any of the South American Revolutionaries.
34:09 He refused to make even symbolic concessions
34:11 that might have kept them under the Spanish Crown.
34:16 Canning saw an opportunity.
34:18 He wanted Britain to be the first to recognize these newly independent states.
34:23 He believed that having some friends in South America might prove to be
34:29 a useful counterbalance against any other power trying to push into the region.
34:34 And there was one other thing.
34:36 Canning mistrusted the French.
34:37 When it came to Spain, their true intentions were not yet clear.
34:42 Why would they recklessly march into Spain like that?
34:46 It made no sense.
34:47 Canning feared that they may try to restart the lost French
34:52 Empire by seizing all of Spain’s colonies in the name of stability.
34:57 If Canning saw to it that these newly independent states were
35:01 recognized by the British government and supported by the British fleet,
35:05 maybe France would think twice before doing something foolish like that.
35:10 Canning began the process of recognizing the new South American states,
35:14 and sent a message to France saying that any French adventurism
35:19 in South America would be interpreted by Britain as an act of war.
35:24 The French fell all over themselves assuring
35:27 Canning that this was never their intention.
35:30 Regardless as to whether that was true or not,
35:33 they heard the message loud and clear.
35:35 Canning’s diplomatic maneuver was remarkably successful.
35:39 At a later international conference,
35:42 the question of reconquering Spain’s lost colonies was floated.
35:46 When France informed the other Great Powers of Britain’s threat,
35:50 the matter was immediately dropped.
35:53 Canning’s threat worked.
35:54 Peace in South America was preserved at no cost to Britain.
35:59 The other Great Powers were also put on notice.
36:02 If they wanted to go around the world opportunistically snapping up colonies,
36:05 they would need to go through Britain first.
36:08 Pax Britannica at its finest.
36:13 At this time I would like to ask all Americans to leave the room.
36:24 Shortly after the wave of revolutions in South America,
36:31 Canning began collaborating with the American
36:35 Secretary of State John Quincy Adams.
36:38 What came out of this collaboration was the Monroe Doctrine in 1823.
36:43 The Monroe Doctrine, really developed by Secretary of State Adams,
36:47 stated “the American continents[...] are henceforth not
36:50 to be considered as future subjects for colonization
36:53 by any European power.” The funny thing
36:57 about this declaration was that at the time, it was completely unenforceable.
37:01 Or, I should say, it was completely unenforceable by the Americans.
37:06 But you know who could enforce it?
37:08 The British.
37:10 The Monroe Doctrine declared no new colonization of North or South America.
37:16 No new colonization meant that the current colonization was locked in place.
37:22 Who did that help?
37:25 Britain at this time was by far the #1 European power in North America,
37:29 and with these new Revolutions in the Spanish colonies,
37:32 it was fast becoming the #1 European power in South America.
37:37 If Spain or France or any other power attempted to move back into South America,
37:42 the Monroe Doctrine stated that the United States would resist,
37:46 which in effect meant that the United States would defend British interests.
37:54 Pushing the Americans in this direction was a master stroke by Canning.
37:57 They didn’t really understand at the time that this declaration committed
38:01 the American Navy to defending British sugar plantations on Jamaica, but it did.
38:07 And in exchange for this, the British gave the Americans nothing.
38:12 Canning said of the Monroe Doctrine when it was first announced,
38:16 “the effect of the ultra-liberalism of our Yankee
38:20 co-operators on the ultra-despotism of our[...] allies,
38:25 gives me just the balance I wanted.” By this he meant that yes,
38:30 the British and the French were playing nice at the moment,
38:33 but if that ever changed, the Americans would serve as a useful
38:37 counterbalance against French overseas expansion.
38:40 Canning felt free to speak more plainly a year later,
38:44 after all the dust had settled.
38:46 He described the Monroe Doctrine as “an act which will make a change in the face
38:52 of the world almost as great as the discovery of the continent now set free.
38:58 The Yankees will shout in triumph,
39:03 but it is they that lose most by our decision.”
39:10 It must be said that Canning didn’t get everything he wanted.
39:14 The Monroe Doctrine contained a massive
39:17 loophole that allowed for American colonialism, which did make Canning nervous,
39:22 especially when he looked at the American ambitions
39:25 toward the Caribbean and the newly independent Mexico.
39:29 But as a general principal, Canning had secured American support against any
39:35 European power moving into North or South America.
39:38 It was a diplomatic coup for the British.
39:43 Okay, the Americans can come back into the room now.
39:52 The Great Powers never went to war over Spain, but it was a very near thing.
40:03 France would end their misguided occupation after 5 years,
40:08 and political instability within Spain would persist for the next 40 years.
40:14 Or 80 years.
40:16 Or 120 years.
40:17 Or… let’s just say that political instability in Spain would persist.
40:23 However, the Spanish Crisis proved that the post-war
40:27 peace was more fragile than anybody realized.
40:31 The Great Powers walked away having learned several lessons.
40:35 First, Metternich was beginning to lose his grip on Europe.
40:39 He had been the Great Man during the post-war settlement, but after 8 years,
40:44 he was becoming increasingly distracted by the Austrian occupation
40:48 of Italy and by the festering issues within the German Confederation.
40:53 The international system that he had helped design was still intact,
40:58 but with France’s reckless invasion of Spain it had entered a new phase,
41:02 one where he was no longer the main character.
41:07 Second, Britain under Canning’s stewardship had fully
41:10 emerged as the greatest of the Great Powers.
41:15 The Spanish Crisis taught everybody that when Britain put its foot down,
41:20 every other Great Power hesitated.
41:22 It was a new world.
41:25 And then lastly, there was France.
41:28 What to say about France?
41:31 They got off to such a great start by successfully
41:35 reintegrating themselves back into the international system under Richelieu,
41:38 but after that, it seems like they were
41:40 bonked over the head with an idiot stick.
41:43 Well, in a way they were.
41:46 I’ve talked around this point up until now,
41:49 but right around the time that France recklessly invaded Spain,
41:53 the government of France underwent an abrupt ideological shift.
41:58 They abandoned the grand compromise that had restored the monarchy to power,
42:03 and decided to lurch quite suddenly in a Conservative and autocratic direction.
42:10 This decision set up a chain of events in France
42:14 that would have profound consequences for the rest of the 19th century.
42:41 And we’ll discuss all of that in the next video.