Something Big is Coming! US Military Preparing Invasion of Iran | Redacted News

0:00 The energy shock is here thanks to the USIsrael

0:03 war against Iran and airline experts now

0:05 warning that more airlines just like Spirit Airlines

0:08 could be collapsing in the next couple of weeks.

0:11 Jet fuel shocks are now reverberating across the global air travel industry.

0:16 Spirit admitted in court documents that jet fuel prices were one

0:20 of the main catalysts to closing their doors um and recent geopolitical events.

0:26 They say even their customer service department totally gone.

0:29 People showing up for their flights just gone.

0:30 Spirit Airlines, sorry.

0:32 Your airline doesn't exist anymore.

0:34 Just totally gone.

0:35 Um, global airlines, according to the Kobesci letter,

0:38 are cancelling flights in unprecedented pace.

0:40 Airlines have cut 2 million seats,

0:43 12,000 flights worldwide from their May schedules over the last two weeks.

0:47 Total available seats down to 130 million.

0:50 That comes as jet fuel costs have doubled since the Iran war began,

0:54 forcing carriers to cancel unprofitable routes,

0:56 switch to smaller aircraft, raise ticket prices.

0:59 So like big international flights still happening,

1:02 but those smaller just like puddle jump flights that people

1:05 take and rely on a regular basis that are pretty unprofitable.

1:08 Cancelled.

1:09 Cancelled.

1:10 Just look at the number uh the this is this chart

1:12 from the Financial Times on the number of flights being cancelled.

1:15 Unbelievable.

1:16 And you can see, of course, hitting Air China,

1:17 Turkish Airlines, um, and and more the hardest.

1:21 Meanwhile, gas prices across the United States skyrocketing.

1:25 The CEO of Chevron just said it out loud yesterday that we're

1:29 starting to see the supply crisis hitting some major economies already.

1:33 Europe is already there.

1:35 Asia is already there.

1:36 And his biggest warning is about America.

1:38 He basically said America is next.

1:40 Watch.

1:41 20% of the world's energy supply flows through the straight of Hormuz.

1:45 That's oil, that's liqufied natural gas, it's refined products,

1:49 uh goes to Europe and Asia primarily.

1:52 And both of those regions are seeing the impact of having that much cut off.

1:56 The US can't make up all of that supply.

1:59 Uh inventories in the system are being drawn down and uh

2:03 and the the supply situation is tightening and that's that's a concern.

2:07 Yeah.

2:07 Yeah.

2:07 And you know, you think Lindsey Graham says, meanwhile,

2:10 Lindsey Graham uh says that Americans deserve higher gas prices because

2:15 many doubted that Iran was going to get a nuclear weapon.

2:17 Almost like that.

2:18 This is like your comeuppance because you

2:21 just didn't believe the truth about Iran.

2:23 So, you guys deserve higher gas prices.

2:25 He says either you're going to pay it now or you're going

2:27 to pay it later when they nuke all of us with their nuclear weapons.

2:30 Watch.

2:32 This thing is over.

2:33 to the American people.

2:34 I know gas prices are high and I know we're suffering right now,

2:38 but you pay now, you pay later against thugs like Iran.

2:41 They tried to get a nuclear weapon,

2:42 and if you don't believe that, you

2:44 shouldn't be allowed to drive in your hometown.

2:46 Donald Trump stopped Iran,

2:48 stopped Iran from having 8 to 10

2:50 nuclear weapons by bombing their enrichment facilities.

2:53 God bless you, President Trump.

2:55 We were weeks away from a nuclear armed Iran.

2:58 No more.

2:58 Everything has been obliterated.

3:00 Their economy is in shatter is in tatters.

3:03 Their military has been decimated.

3:05 There's more to do.

3:06 If we can control the straits,

3:08 checkmate against Iran, blockade, plus arm the people.

3:12 And to our allies throughout the world who depend

3:15 on the straight of Hormuz more than we do, get off your ass and help us.

3:21 Remember, it was open.

3:22 Who Who's us?

3:23 I don't recall Lindsey Graham ever going

3:25 to war or putting himself in any dangerous situation.

3:29 He has bodyguards.

3:31 So, who exactly is us?

3:33 I don't know.

3:33 I mean, in Ukraine, they have those trans soldiers.

3:35 He could join up with in Ukraine, you know.

3:38 Uh, go ahead, Phillip.

3:40 I just So, I I just did Did he just suggest that we we arm Iranians?

3:47 Yeah.

3:46 Are we doing that now?

3:47 That's the next big piece of this, which is sending

3:49 as many guns as we can to arm the Iranians.

3:52 So, you know, it's all back to opening the straight of Hormuse again.

3:56 I'm seeing $7 a a gallon in Toronto from our viewers.

3:59 $7 in Toronto.

4:00 437 in Missouri.

4:02 Over seven for diesel in Michigan.

4:05 $6 in Florida,

4:07 uh 550 in in Colorado, um Hawaii, upwards of five.

4:13 I mean, yeah, all you know, all across the board, skyrocketing.

4:16 Brandon Ward is the host of the NATSC Talk podcast on Rumble,

4:19 senior national security editor at 1945.com, a must-read website,

4:24 and a great friend of the show and a great analyst that we love to have on.

4:28 Brandon, great to see you.

4:29 Welcome back.

4:30 Thank you for having me.

4:31 I wish it was under better circumstances, but uh here we are.

4:36 Well, if it were under better circumstances, we'd all be out of a job.

4:39 I wish actually I actually would love that.

4:42 Go do something else.

4:42 I would just hang out with my dog for crying out loud.

4:45 That's what I would do.

4:46 But this is absolutely miserable.

4:47 I mean, so what you're seeing now from this administration,

4:50 you just heard Marco Rubio about 30 minutes ago

4:52 um basically saying this is all about the straight hormuse.

4:55 This is opening up the They're Wait a minute.

4:57 I I thought the Straight of Hormuse was open

4:59 weeks ago and now that's the whole focus of this.

5:02 Are we talking about boots on the ground,

5:04 ground forces in order to get this open?

5:07 Well, I will tell you, so I spent some time with the Air Force the last

5:12 week at an undisclosed location and it is very obvious.

5:15 Nothing was said to me, classified or any or any way,

5:18 but it was very obvious just looking at the some

5:21 of what was happening on base that the the we

5:24 are ramping up the the idea that we're going to sustain

5:28 the ceasefire or uh you know look for an off-ramp.

5:33 I you know I it doesn't look like it to me just based on what I saw.

5:38 Uh we are in this for the long haul.

5:40 uh what that looks like.

5:42 I know that the uh last week the reporting was

5:46 uh that the uh Sentcom commander Admiral Paparro briefed Trump

5:50 for 45 minutes in the White House on what was

5:54 referred to as the final blow plan for the Iranian regime.

5:59 I also know based on what I have heard uh

6:04 that the US military has moved the last several weeks very

6:09 key assets into the region that are not just for naval

6:13 interdiction of the kind we're seeing outside the straight of Hormuse.

6:18 It's not just for another potential air campaign.

6:21 But I am I am hearing that we

6:23 are moving the resources needed to support a ground

6:27 force of at least 15,000 troops uh going into uh the the Iranian area in some

6:35 way likely to do some kind of uh you know coastal strategy where we invade one

6:42 of those islands that I was originally

6:44 on this program several weeks ago talking to you about.

6:47 I likened it to Gallipoli, uh,

6:49 which I still believe would be a Gipolyike disaster

6:52 for the US Marines andor Army elements that would be deployed.

6:57 But it is very obvious to me, uh,

7:00 based on everything that I've heard and seen over the last week

7:02 or so that this war is just heating up on the American side.

7:07 Wow, that's some breaking news.

7:09 And again, so let's revisit that first conversation we had.

7:14 To what end?

7:15 We have one island and then what?

7:18 Yeah.

7:18 Well, there is no end.

7:20 Uh this is uh you know strategic malpractice

7:23 on an epic level by the White House.

7:26 There is no end state to this conflict.

7:29 Remember this was the famous uh you know

7:31 tell me how this ends General Petraeus uh

7:35 line in 2008 that they were the Congress

7:37 was begging for answers from General Petraeus on Iraq.

7:42 This is the same question we have today.

7:44 Tell me Mr.

7:45 president how this ends and Mr.

7:47 President unfortunately doesn't seem to have

7:49 an answer that's satisfactory for anybody including himself.

7:54 Uh you know on on the one hand he wants to arm the the the rebels in in Iran,

7:59 the mythical rebels.

8:01 On the other hand he's saying we've won already.

8:04 If we've won already, what are we still doing there?

8:07 Uh and then he talks about

8:08 denuclearization that we supposedly obliterated last year,

8:12 but they're back in action, I guess.

8:14 in Iran.

8:14 So, we don't know what the end state is.

8:17 Uh, and he talks frequently about regime change.

8:19 This has never gone away, by the way,

8:21 is this idea of regime change plus unconditional surrender in bold letters.

8:27 Uh, we don't have an end state, which is why if you have no end state,

8:32 it doesn't really matter how you get there.

8:33 You're just going to keep going, right?

8:36 And so, the idea that, well, that's not going to happen.

8:38 Regime change.

8:39 But what is happening is listen to any analyst

8:42 right now about where they see this economy going.

8:44 The global economy heading for a global depression maybe over the next

8:48 2 to four weeks especially if the street of Hormuse continues to remain

8:51 closed and even if it does open magically in the next like

8:54 10 minutes the reverberations are going to be felt across the global economy.

8:59 Can you speak to that?

9:00 Yes, it's already we're we now will no matter

9:02 what have some form of a recession at this point.

9:05 Even if the straight of horn moose magically, as you properly put it,

9:09 reopen in the next 10 minutes,

9:11 the the shortages are already baked now into the cake.

9:15 Now, I did speak with some pretty

9:18 uh savvy financial people down in Naples, Florida.

9:22 I live near Naples, so I have a lot of contacts down there,

9:25 the investment community there.

9:26 and they assured me that don't worry, it's a lot of this is already priced in.

9:31 Um, but then when I brought up the fact that what happens if the straight

9:36 doesn't reopen in any meaningful way in the next 3 weeks, what happens then?

9:41 Well, then, you know, they don't want to address that because to them,

9:45 the president, he's an economics guy.

9:47 He understands this.

9:48 I don't think the president does.

9:50 If I can just speak honestly,

9:51 I don't think the president understands this at all.

9:54 uh which is why the war's gone on for what 11 weeks now uh with no end in sight.

9:59 Uh I I believe fully that we are already going to have a recession either now

10:05 or in the next several months because

10:07 of the shortages that are already going to occur.

10:10 Uh the question is how deep and how fast and how hard uh will that hit us.

10:15 I think right now it's a mild recession.

10:17 I think in the next 3 weeks,

10:19 if we don't reopen the straight and get things back to relative normal,

10:22 it will be a much deeper and longer recession.

10:25 It will look a lot like the 20 thou

10:27 or feel a lot like the 2008 financial crisis.

10:30 And I think it'll also look a lot like the worst

10:32 aspects of the COVID recession when we forcibly shut everything down,

10:36 which also happened, by the way,

10:38 under Trump's term, uh, his leadership the last time.

10:41 So, we've been through this before with this president

10:43 and we know that it it doesn't really end

10:47 well unfortunately for the economy and it will have

10:50 deep political reverberations uh for the president and his party.

10:54 It will not end well for the GOP.

10:57 I think at this point the Democrats

10:59 are assured majorities definitely in the House.

11:01 I suspect they'll get the Senate.

11:03 Uh and once that happens, you know,

11:05 the president's basically a lame duck president at that point

11:08 or possibly facing impeachment.

11:10 definitely facing impeachment, right?

11:12 No, I I I've spoken to several Democrats.

11:15 Um, you know, for whatever reason,

11:17 I've maintained relationships with the Democrats over the years.

11:21 I'm not a Democrat.

11:22 Um, but they do confide certain things to me when we're communicating.

11:28 Uh, it looks like they've got

11:29 a pretty comprehensive collapse strategy for the administration.

11:33 And as one of my my colleagues, former colleagues from the Hill said,

11:37 all they need is the majorities and they begin immediately.

11:40 Game over.

11:41 So, yeah.

11:42 Game over.

11:43 You think both houses?

11:45 I'm in the outlier.

11:46 I'm in the outlier.

11:47 Most professionals are saying no, he'll get that.

11:49 They'll get the House, but not the Senate.

11:51 I think they're going to get both.

11:54 Look at these gas prices.

11:55 So, Go ahead.

11:57 I just have very little confidence in Democrats

12:00 to do something like that because they're so feckless.

12:04 Well, whether they can actually get rid

12:06 of remove Trump from office, I don't know.

12:10 But but I do believe the investigations

12:13 and recess and um impeachment trial alone

12:18 uh will be much more damaging this time around than it was the first time.

12:22 You know, in the first term, the Democrats had nothing on Trump.

12:25 Whatever people thought about Trump, he didn't really break the law.

12:29 He didn't do anything that was really catastrophic until the end with COVID.

12:34 But now there's real there's real problems.

12:37 He and Hegathth and some of his top advisers are facing.

12:41 In fact, what I've heard is the first target the Democrats

12:43 are going to really go hard for is Heg Seth.

12:46 They are assessing that Trump will throw Heg Seth to the wolves, which he will,

12:51 but that'll only begin a snowball effect for the Democrats to continue,

12:55 you know, cing their way

12:56 into the administration with investigations and investigations.

13:00 Yeah.

13:00 I mean, Brandon, right now in poly market,

13:02 there's literally a front page question as to how how long

13:05 until uh Pete Higgs is thrown out of office or, you know,

13:09 No, it's going to be as soon as the Democrats get their majorities.

13:11 I think I think Trump's going to feed him to the wolves.

13:13 Yeah.

13:14 I don't think I don't think poor Pete understands what he's being set up for.

13:17 This is why I I've been saying he should not be speaking anymore publicly,

13:21 but apparently he's committed to this.

13:23 So, he is.

13:24 In fact, just a few minutes ago,

13:25 Pete Hexith talking about how the Straight of Hormuse is a direct

13:30 gift from the US to the world that we've established a powerful red,

13:34 white, and blue dome over the Straight of Hormuz.

13:37 Watch.

13:38 As a direct gift from the United States to the world,

13:42 we have established a powerful red, white, and blue dome over the street.

13:47 American destroyers are on stations supported by hundreds of fighter jets,

13:50 helicopters, drones, and surveillance aircraft providing 24/7

13:55 overwatch for peaceful commercial vessels.

13:59 Yeah.

13:59 Do you feel I mean, really, you shouldn't have.

14:01 Thank you so much.

14:03 I really Pete strikes again.

14:05 Yeah.

14:05 I mean, what what are we talking about here?

14:08 We're we're like an abusive spouse.

14:09 We're like, what?

14:10 Look what you made us do.

14:13 Yeah.

14:13 I think I think it's important to note also because

14:16 I have actually a report on this uh pending at 1945.com.

14:20 It might have already gone up this this afternoon.

14:22 I don't know.

14:22 But, uh, in the next 24 hours, it'll be available.

14:24 I did for sure.

14:25 But basically, I broke down what happened over the weekend with um the alleged

14:31 Iranian attack on the container ships in the straight of Hermuz that prompted

14:36 uh the US Navy to deploy those uh Seahawk helicopters and the army deploying

14:41 the Apaches into the straight to basically

14:45 destroy those six or seven Iranian speedboats.

14:48 Um the the the key thing to understand here

14:52 is that we are now having to use helicopters uh

14:58 rather than our traditional air defense systems because we're depleting

15:02 our more expensive exquisite systems at such a rapid rate.

15:07 We're now having to kind of shift.

15:08 Now I think this is a smart move because

15:09 it's cheaper to use those other systems from the helicopters.

15:12 But the point is is that the even if we destroy all of Iran's cigarette boats,

15:18 you know, these ridiculous, you know,

15:20 small speedboats, the fact of the matter is,

15:23 uh, we are running through our supplies

15:26 of critical defensive stockpiles much faster than the, um,

15:31 much faster than the Iranians are going through their systems.

15:34 So even when they lose these little ships in Iran,

15:38 uh which I believe they did, uh it's still not a loss for them.

15:42 They're still getting us to expend very finite

15:45 resources and we're still not really opening the straight.

15:48 I mean, the straight remains closed.

15:50 Lloyds of London insurance is not going to, you know,

15:53 ensure ships passing through because it's still too risky.

15:58 Uh and ultimately, you know, we're we're going to be in a position

16:02 where even if we do destroy these Iranian systems,

16:06 those systems are so small and cheap compared to what we're using against them,

16:12 it's still a win for the Iranians because we're expending

16:15 these critical stockpiles of which we have very few uh of remaining.

16:20 I want to ask about the propaganda because President Trump and his cabinet

16:24 are continuously saying we needed to have paid these bigger prices in gas.

16:29 It was necessity.

16:32 You really want this even though you didn't know you want this, you want this.

16:35 Uh you know, and then if and when the war starts back up, Iran is so weak.

16:39 They're not expecting it.

16:41 I mean, they were expecting it when we hit them on February 28th.

16:45 The little girls weren't, but Iranian officials were.

16:49 or they've been ready for this for decades.

16:52 So, you know, I see some people in our chat being like,

16:54 "Yeah, they're decimated.

16:55 They were evil.

16:56 They're the worst." It's so dumb to believe

16:59 what the administration is saying right now.

17:01 I can't believe that dumb people like that are here in the redacted chat.

17:05 Can you at least address anyone who is

17:08 believing the government propaganda about those things right now?

17:12 Please, people in the chat, stop being dumb.

17:15 Well, we we have destroyed a lot of stuff

17:18 and not all of it was military as you rightly noted,

17:22 but as we proved in Vietnam where we ran 5.29 million sorties,

17:27 the Air Force did uh over 10 years in Vietnam, you can blow up a lot of stuff,

17:34 military and non-militaryike, and still not achieve victory.

17:38 And that's the kind of war we're in right now.

17:40 So, I have no doubt that we killed a lot of leaders.

17:43 I have no doubt that we've degraded certain capabilities uh in Iran.

17:47 But have we taken out the core leadership?

17:50 Have we gotten rid of the Islamic Republic itself?

17:53 Absolutely not.

17:54 Are we going to?

17:55 Absolutely not.

17:57 Uh in fact, the Islamic Republic has uh implemented

18:00 a counterattack strategy that is very effective and actually far

18:05 more dangerous to us because of these economic uh

18:09 you know impacts we're start only starting to feel now.

18:12 uh the the Iranian regime is is going to survive this thing.

18:16 We don't have the forces to take them out.

18:19 We don't have the forces even to get rid of all their missiles.

18:22 And that by the way, forget about the nuclear weapons threat.

18:26 Uh the real threat that Iran posed

18:28 the region was in these ballistic missile drone

18:31 and hypersonic weapons swarms that they have

18:34 really built up for many years, decades even.

18:38 Uh the US intelligence community had to a week

18:41 or so ago go back and uh change their original claims,

18:44 claims that Pete Hegsth was making.

18:47 We did not destroy anywhere near as many

18:49 of those missile launchers as we believed.

18:52 In fact, the intelligence community corrected this publicly

18:55 and said we were wrong by at least 50%.

18:58 So the Iranians have retained a capability that we

19:02 have yet to be able to stop and it's their primary threat to the region which is

19:07 those missile launch capabilities uh in these underground missile cities.

19:11 So um you know we whatever we've destroyed

19:13 or haven't destroyed in my opinion is irrelevant.

19:17 What's key here is combat effectiveness and survivability

19:21 of the regime both of which remain relatively intact.

19:26 uh and they're they are going to be able to hang on much longer in my opinion uh

19:30 than when what we're going to be able to do

19:32 is the minute these economic impacts are really felt

19:35 really felt both in the United States and around

19:38 the world that's when reality hits the leadership in Washington

19:43 and uh you can't hide in in in behind

19:45 the uh curtains of the proposed ballroom much longer then

19:50 uh I guess a final question on this do you think that you mentioned 3 weeks

19:53 from the folks you've been financial folks you've

19:55 been speaking to down there in Naples and otherwise.

19:57 Do you believe that's really the kind of the target date for when

20:00 we will really start to feel the pinch maybe in the United States?

20:03 Europe's already feeling it.

20:04 Asia's already fully aware of it.

20:06 Is that when it hits here?

20:08 Yeah, I think in the next 3 weeks if this thing

20:10 if straits don't re if the straight of hormous doesn't reopen.

20:13 Uh I think you're going to feel some kind of impacts here.

20:17 It's important to understand.

20:18 I know we talk about it,

20:19 but you want to keep bringing it up because it's very important.

20:22 It isn't just natural gas and oil that we're being cut off from.

20:25 It's fertilizer during the planting season.

20:28 So something like 70% of farmers cannot plant

20:32 the normal level of crops that they have to plant.

20:35 That will be felt for much longer than just the uh immediate uh term.

20:41 Uh it's also the the uh AI revolution whether you like it or not.

20:45 The AI bubble is the reason the economy is sustaining itself.

20:49 And that AI bubble is now at risk of being popped prematurely.

20:54 uh because of all of the helium shortages coming out of the reg

20:58 or not coming out of the region uh and and without

21:01 those that helium access you have absolutely no ability to build

21:07 uh to to to build those data centers um I'm hearing something

21:11 someone talking uh uh to uh to build those data centers

21:15 to maintain those semiconductors uh the production of them and I'll just add

21:19 one more thing about helium uh in 2024 President Joe Biden sold

21:23 sold the strategic helium reserve to a German-based firm called Messer LLC.

21:30 And this company, according to the US

21:32 House of Representatives Committee on Oversight,

21:35 uh this company has a lot of exposure

21:37 to the Chinese Communist Party in in China itself.

21:41 So, in effect, the Biden administration sold off our strategic helium reserve

21:46 to the Chinese who are now taking

21:48 that helium and uh they're basically they're sustaining

21:51 themselves in terms of their technology boom much better in some ways than even

21:56 we're going to be able to because we've lost access to so much helium.

22:00 All right.

22:00 For some, isn't it?

22:02 Yeah.

22:02 Unbelievable.

22:03 Good for them.

22:04 That's great.

22:05 Happy for them.

22:07 Brandon, great to see you.

22:08 Um, where can people read your your website

22:10 again and people get your latest reports?

22:13 Well, 1945.com is where you'll get daily doses of me.

22:17 Natsack uh talk on Rumble.

22:20 I'm also NatSackguy at emerald.tv and uh right now that's that's pretty much it.

22:26 But uh maybe I'll be elsewhere soon too.

22:28 But those are and we the Brandon on Twitterx.

22:32 Wonderful Brandon.

22:33 Great to see you as always.

22:34 Thank you so much.

22:34 Thank you.

22:35 Talk to you soon.

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