The REAL Reason Trump Can Get A Third Term

0:00 So, when do you think this was going to happen?

0:02 If you get were to give me a timeline of events you think are going to occur,

0:05 what timeline do you think you're operating under?

0:07 I guess one of the factors here is that Trump only has what,

0:10 three years left in power.

0:13 So, you know, he's presumably going to leave power at some point soon.

0:18 So, if you're Iran, you might just want to play it out and hope

0:21 that there's a different leadership in place by by 20 what be 2030.

0:26 The political leadership in Iran believe that they can wait Trump out.

0:30 So they're waiting for the midterms because they believe

0:33 that in November the Democrats will win the midterms,

0:36 then they will impeach Trump and basically constrain his capacity to fight wars.

0:42 And worst case scenario, Trump will be gone in 2028.

0:47 As you point out, there are certain problems with this.

0:51 The first major problem is the national defense strategy,

0:54 which we looked at previously.

0:56 the national defense strategy,

0:57 it is a long-term strategic framework for how America can control the world.

1:04 And so, one possibility is that Trump is just

1:08 creating enough chaos for America to trans to transition.

1:12 When the Democrats come to power,

1:14 if they come to power, they will institutionalize the strategy.

1:17 And we know this as a possibility because in Trump's first term,

1:23 he changed America's strategy around the world.

1:27 And then when Biden came into power,

1:29 he then institutionalized the strategy uh via v China, right?

1:35 So it was Trump who launched these this tariff

1:38 war against China and then finally comes in power,

1:40 a institutionalizes it, right?

1:43 So I think World War II it's a much more long-term uh war

1:48 of attrition and I don't think that this war um will end anytime soon.

1:57 You've made a series of new predictions.

1:59 You've made eight new predictions.

2:02 Okay.

2:01 And I have them in this box here.

2:05 Okay.

2:05 I'll let you reveal what those predictions are.

2:11 Okay.

2:10 Um this is one prediction.

2:12 Okay.

2:18 Okay.

2:18 So, this is the most controversial prediction.

2:20 Okay.

2:20 I predict that there will be a US civil war and Trump will get a third term.

2:25 You think Trump will get a third term?

2:27 Isn't that constitutionally illegal?

2:30 There are things that are unconventional and immoral and wrong

2:37 and evil and dangerous and there are certain things that are illegal.

2:42 Trump getting a third term is not illegal.

2:47 So, let me explain the loophole.

2:51 What Trump could do is this.

2:53 Okay, there there are two possibilities.

2:55 The first possibility is in 2028 he has his son Don Jr.

2:59 run as a president and he runs as the vice president.

3:05 And then when Don Jr.

3:06 wins, if he wins, then Don Jr.

3:09 could abdicate and Trump would be the president.

3:14 And in the constitution, if you read the constitution very carefully,

3:18 it doesn't actually prohibit people from doing that.

3:21 It's not been done in the past.

3:23 And like no sane person with any morality would do this.

3:30 But that doesn't stop Trump from from doing this.

3:32 Okay, that's one possibility.

3:33 Another possibility is that by 2028, America is at war with everyone.

3:42 There's a national draft.

3:44 The president now has emergency war powers and so

3:47 he can actually suspend the constitution and delayed election,

3:51 which is what Zilinski did in Ukraine.

3:54 So these are two different possibilities.

3:57 But I think that given Trump's track record, given his personality,

4:04 I think he very much um wants a third term.

4:09 And I think that he will do everything possible to get a third term.

4:15 He would turn 83 years old in the same year that he finishes his second term.

4:21 This is a man who eats McDonald's hamburgers.

4:27 every day.

4:30 He doesn't really work out.

4:32 Yet on the campaign trail,

4:35 he's able to go to two rallies a day and in each

4:40 rally there's 50,000 people and he will talk on and on and on.

4:46 Then at night when he he should be sleeping,

4:50 he's either on truth social tweeting about

4:53 the world or he's calling up reporters and telling

4:56 him or her some confidential information that he

4:59 really shouldn't be discussing with the media.

5:03 This is a man who is addicted to attention.

5:09 This is a man who loves the spotlight.

5:11 He's lived all his life in the spotlight.

5:14 for him death is to be ignored.

5:20 So given his personality,

5:22 he would rather die in office than live uh peacefully somewhere else.

5:29 And of those two strategies that you named where he

5:31 puts his son in and then becomes president that way

5:33 or you know there's a war breaks out so he has he says he has to stay in office.

5:38 Of those two strategies, which one do you think he's more likely to deploy?

5:42 I actually think that given his narcissism, he would prefer the first strategy,

5:47 his putting his son in

5:49 because because that shows himself in the world that America loves him.

5:55 Okay?

5:55 And it could also be JD Vance or someone else, right?

5:57 It doesn't have to be his son necessarily.

5:59 Trump does not trust anyone.

6:01 Trump has never had a pro prodigy.

6:03 In fact, everyone that's really worked for Trump

6:06 has been kind of screwed over by him.

6:07 Do you not think that if his son decided to run

6:11 and then announced that the vice president was his dad,

6:14 do you not think that there would be such a huge

6:19 backlash in the United States that his son wouldn't win?

6:23 Well, I think there's a possibility that they figure out how to cheat in 2028.

6:29 Oh, as in actually cheat at the election, right?

6:32 So,

6:32 at the poll booth,

6:33 right?

6:34 So, let's go into Trump's mind.

6:36 All right.

6:36 his psychology.

6:38 In his mind, he won in 2020.

6:43 The people voted for him, but the Democrats stole the election with melon

6:49 ballots and by rigging the election machines.

6:54 Okay?

6:54 He in his mind, he literally believes that.

6:56 So in his mind, he believes that this is

6:59 actually his third term and the people and the government,

7:04 they owe him a second term, which is what he wants now.

7:08 He wants uh compensation for having the election stolen from him in 2020.

7:15 I find it really um really implausible to think

7:18 that Trump would run would run for a third term.

7:22 So again, this is a prediction.

7:24 Yeah.

7:24 and it is a test of the validity of my theorical framework.

7:31 I was looking at some of the the constitutions

7:33 and the laws and it says that this 22nd

7:36 amendment explicitly states no person shall be elected

7:39 to the office of the president more than twice.

7:42 Some theorists have tried to argue that since the amendment says elected,

7:45 a person might be able to serve a third

7:48 term if they were appointed to succeed to the role.

7:51 Exactly.

7:51 if they were appointed or succeeded to the role,

7:54 eg by being vice president first.

7:57 Legal scholars and the judicial committee almost universally reject this.

8:02 The 12th amendment requires that anyone serving

8:05 as vice president must be eligible to be president.

8:08 Since a two-term president is ineligible to be elected again,

8:12 they legally barred from being vice president.

8:14 So the point is the there's nothing explicit

8:18 in the constitution that bars someone from having a third term

8:24 and there's debate in the legal community

8:27 about the spirit of the 22nd amendment.

8:30 It would go to the Supreme Court, right?

8:32 And the Supreme Court is controlled right now by the conservatives.

8:35 Trump appointed three of the nine justices and there's

8:39 a possibility he gets a fourth later in the year.

8:42 So, it's entirely up to the Supreme Court whether or not he can run.

8:46 And again, there's something explicit in the Constitution

8:49 that forbids him from running as a vice president.

8:53 Okay.

8:54 What's your next prediction?

8:55 The my second prediction is there will be

8:57 a grand bargain between United States and China.

9:00 What does that mean?

9:02 It means that people expect that the United States

9:06 and China will go to war at some point over Taiwan.

9:10 It mean a lot of people expect that China wants

9:14 to challenge American hijgemony and replace America as the global superpower.

9:19 But China does not want to do that.

9:22 China's perfectly happy with America being

9:27 the world's hegeimon because you have to invest

9:29 so much of your resources into fighting these wars that bank up your nation.

9:34 China China doesn't want to fight these wars.

9:37 So what China is going to do is

9:40 try to triangulate between Russia and the United States.

9:44 This is what happened during the cold war when China

9:47 was not actually on the side of the Soviet Union.

9:50 China was part of the nonaligned community and that's what China is going

9:55 to strive for in World War II where China may help out Iran,

10:00 may provide financing for Russia,

10:02 but it's also going to strike deals with the United States as well.

10:06 Okay.

10:06 So I think that Trump and President C are supposed to meet at least three times,

10:13 possibly four times this year, only this year.

10:17 The first will be uh in midMay in Beijing.

10:20 And I think that they will start a process in which

10:24 China and America come to an enragment that benefits both economically.

10:30 What does America want?

10:31 America wants China to continue to buy US

10:35 treasuries in order to finance the American debt.

10:38 What does China want?

10:39 China wants energy resources from the Western Hemisphere

10:44 and it wants to access the American market.

10:48 So there's no reason why China and America

10:51 cannot come to a an arrangement that benefits both.

10:55 And Trump is very much a transactional character.

10:58 And and what will that mean for the world?

11:01 It means that China is not really part of World War II in a meaningful way.

11:06 Okay.

11:07 So, they're going to do a deal.

11:08 They'll continue to work together as friends.

11:10 China will be friends with both Russia and the United

11:13 States as Russia and United States fight each other.

11:16 Okay.

11:16 What's your next prediction?

11:20 Iran is another forever war and the United

11:22 States will institute a national draft.

11:24 Iran is another forever war and the United

11:26 States will institute a national draft.

11:29 So you think Iran is going to Iran as a war is going to tumble on for decades

11:33 and that the US are going to draft

11:35 people which means you're obliged to go and fight.

11:40 Exactly.

11:40 Okay.

11:41 So the logic is this.

11:44 America doesn't really care if Iran is defeated or not.

11:49 That's not really part of the American grand strategy.

11:52 Iran right now is a perfect pretext for America to expand outwards and establish

11:59 maritime choke points around the world

12:01 and to force the world to buy American energy.

12:06 So this war in Iran benefits America tremendously.

12:10 So why not have it go on for a long long time?

12:14 In order to make sure this war goes on for a long time,

12:17 you need ground troops and you need a lot

12:21 of ground troops and that's why you need a national draft.

12:25 So what would a national draft look like in the United States?

12:28 Everyone between the age of 18 and 25 has to sign up to the army,

12:31 right?

12:31 So most people don't appreciate this, but America has always had a draft.

12:35 But for the longest time,

12:36 it didn't really care whether or not you actually signed up for the draft.

12:41 And starting in December, participation in the draft will be automatic.

12:45 Meaning that if you are between 18 to 24 in America and you're male,

12:49 you'll be automatically put into the draft system from when?

12:53 I mean from December this year.

12:55 Yes, that that is correct.

12:56 Yes.

12:56 So between the age of 18 and 25, you think?

12:58 And what does that what does that really mean?

12:59 I've not really experienced that in my lifetime.

13:01 So it means that if you're between the age of 18 and 24, either gender,

13:05 no, male, male, then you have to sign up for the army.

13:09 No, you already put into a draft.

13:12 Oh, you already Okay, but you might be called upon.

13:14 That's right.

13:15 It's a lottery system.

13:17 Okay.

13:17 Right.

13:17 And uh this created a lot of backlash during the Vietnam era.

13:22 And so they sort of tone it down, but starting December,

13:25 they just pass a law that says that starting

13:27 December um you will be automatically registered for They've passed a law.

13:33 Yes, they have.

13:34 Well, in theory, Congress first needs to declare war.

13:38 Okay, fine.

13:38 Right.

13:39 That's a first step.

13:40 And has not actually decided war yet.

13:42 Okay.

13:43 So you think there'll be a draft and you think

13:44 this will this war in Iran is going to trickle on for a long time.

13:48 How long?

13:49 10 20 years like Afghanistan or

13:51 I don't see it stopping.

13:54 Okay.

13:55 Yeah.

13:55 What's next in your prediction box?

13:59 Okay.

13:59 Okay.

14:00 This is pretty bad.

14:01 The world will move towards an AI civilian state.

14:04 I feel like that's already happening.

14:06 I think it's pretty obvious.

14:07 Yeah.

14:08 What does that mean in reality for the average person?

14:10 Because, you know, we're seeing some of these big companies like OpenAI

14:13 and Anthropic sort of signing up

14:15 to government um military surveillance projects.

14:19 What does that mean for the average person?

14:21 Right.

14:21 So, for the average person, it means two things.

14:23 It means digital ID and digital currency.

14:27 Okay.

14:27 So, what that what that will allow is for the government

14:29 to basically monitor everything you do

14:30 online and control all financial transactions.

14:33 it it can basically program your bank account.

14:37 So like you can't buy cigarettes or you can't buy drugs.

14:41 Um and this will allow the government to basically um categorize

14:47 everyone and put everyone into a certain database to monitor that person.

14:51 And once you have once you're able to categorize everyone,

14:54 you're allow then you are you are able to use AI to predict their behavior.

15:00 Isn't this what goes on in some parts of the world?

15:02 This is what goes on in China and that's how I know about this.

15:06 How does it work in China?

15:08 Well, in China, we all have digital ID.

15:10 If you want to access anything in China, you need your digital ID.

15:16 So, if you want to open a bank account,

15:17 you have to you have to use um a digital ID.

15:20 If you want to use any uh e payments, you have to use digital ID.

15:24 If you want to use a phone, you have to use digital ID.

15:27 Okay?

15:28 So, everyone's part of this national database.

15:31 And then this what this allows government

15:33 to do is basically monitor everything if

15:36 you do because basically depending on how you buy things I can then extrapolate

15:42 to figure out your behavior and then I can figure out your thinking right

15:48 and then I can create incentives in order to guide and control your behavior.

15:56 So in China can they see everything that you do?

15:59 Yes they can.

16:00 messages you send, everything, payments you make, everything, everything.

16:05 Everything you do online is being recorded and it's being

16:10 inputed into the database to figure out who you are,

16:16 what you want, and how to control you.

16:20 And they think this is progress, by the way.

16:22 This is progress because I'm making you a better person, right?

16:27 I'm helping you achieve your dream.

16:29 I'm helping you lose weight.

16:31 I'm helping you avoid drugs.

16:33 I'm helping you work harder.

16:35 Won't you be in trouble if you talk against this system?

16:40 Well, me personally.

16:42 Okay.

16:43 So, I operate in a gray area where I do not interact with the Chinese internet.

16:48 So, everything I do is in English.

16:50 It's meant for consumption in the Western world.

16:53 And um I I don't talk to Chinese reporters.

16:56 I don't talk to Chinese social media.

16:58 I have no Chinese media presence and I am not

17:02 at all influential in China and I prefer that way because

17:06 if I ever became famous in China then they would obviously

17:12 want to control me in order to better influence other people.

17:16 H what's your next prediction?

17:21 Israel will achieve the greater Israel project.

17:24 So you think Israel are going to conquer the Middle East?

17:28 Israel has essentially already conquered the Middle East.

17:31 The only force in their way right now is America.

17:35 So once America leaves the Middle East,

17:37 which I expect to happen, then Israel will absorb SANCOM,

17:42 which is the um central command, the American military bases in the Middle East,

17:48 and they'll achieve the greater Israel project.

17:50 There's no other power in the Middle East

17:52 that can withstand the might and power of Israel.

17:56 And do you have a timeline for this?

17:59 The moment America quits this war against Iran,

18:02 the moment that America leaves the Middle East,

18:06 Israel will achieve the Greater Israel Project.

18:08 And what's really interesting right now is that Israel

18:12 is trying to drag this war out for as long

18:13 as possible because they see this war as a way

18:17 to destroy all its major enemies in the um Middle East.

18:23 You know the Israelis have already said this after Iran Turkey is next.

18:29 Turkey Turkey is next.

18:29 This war is already destroying Saudi Arabia and the GCC, right?

18:34 So the last opponent is Turkey.

18:37 Once Turkey is brought into this war,

18:41 then Israel will achieve the Greater Israel Project.

18:45 And the Greater Israel Project covers all

18:47 of this region here from Turkey, Egypt, Yemen, Aman.

18:51 So the Greater Israel Project is like this.

18:54 Okay, so it goes from the Nile in Egypt to the Euphrates and Iraq.

18:59 and it covers part of Turkey, of Syria, of Lebanon,

19:04 of Jordan and parts of Saudi Arabia which also includes Mecca Medina.

19:09 What is your next prediction?

19:12 NATO and Russia will fight for Odessa.

19:15 Adessa.

19:15 What's Adessa?

19:18 Okay, so if you look at the uh Ukraine front lines right now,

19:22 Russia is preoccupied in trying to control uh the Dondas,

19:26 which is basically eastern Ukraine.

19:29 Why Russia is doing this is that eastern

19:32 Ukraine has historically been part of Russia.

19:34 Therefore, most people there speak Russian or are are ethnically Russian.

19:39 The Donbas is also the agricultural and industrial heartland of Ukraine.

19:45 So if Russia were to control east eastern Ukraine doesn't really

19:50 need western Ukraine and western Ukraine would basically become a rump state.

19:54 It' be useless, right?

19:55 So the last piece to this puzzle would be Odessa which sits on the black seat.

20:01 The reason why you want Odessa is that is the major port.

20:08 And once you control Odessa, you basically block off Ukraine from the Black Sea.

20:13 You have complete control over over the Black Sea.

20:15 The Black is that the Black Sea?

20:16 This is the Black Sea.

20:17 And this is Odessa right here.

20:18 Yes.

20:19 Okay.

20:19 So you're saying that you Russia will take take Adessa.

20:22 That's correct.

20:24 Okay.

20:24 Okay.

20:24 So, they'll control the Black Sea.

20:26 That's right.

20:26 But NATO recognizes that if Odessa falls, the Russians,

20:30 the war is over and Russia will have achieve all its major strategic objectives.

20:35 Why is the war over?

20:37 Because Russia doesn't want to continue on after Odessa.

20:41 It doesn't need of Ukraine.

20:44 Why what does it get from taking Odessa?

20:46 Once it takes Odessa, control of onethird of the world's carbohydrates.

20:53 If Russia wielded, Africa would starve to death.

20:59 The Middle East would starve.

21:02 Why?

21:02 Because Russia and Ukraine export a lot of grain to these places.

21:06 These places are not food independent.

21:09 They rely on fertilizer.

21:11 They rely on food imports.

21:13 Okay.

21:14 And Russia's using the the Black Sea here to export.

21:19 Exactly.

21:18 Okay.

21:19 What is your next prediction?

21:20 This is the last one.

21:24 Please be good.

21:25 Okay.

21:26 I was hoping for an optimistic one, but East Asia breaks out into conflict.

21:31 Okay.

21:31 What do you mean by that?

21:33 Okay.

21:33 So, we've talked a lot about the Middle

21:35 East and we've talked briefly about Europe.

21:37 Okay.

21:38 So, now let's go into East Asia and I think there

21:42 are three major sources of friction and conflict in East Asia.

21:49 And these could be potentially major flash points.

21:53 The first flash point is of course

21:56 over Taiwan because China believes that Taiwan

22:01 is part of its territory and so it wants to take over uh Taiwan.

22:09 Now the problem with this is the problem with this is

22:11 that the recently prime minister Takayachi of Japan has

22:16 said that Taiwan is core to Japanese strategic interests and what

22:22 she means by this is that Japan has no resources.

22:28 It's a manufacturing power that depends on resources from overseas.

22:33 If China were to take over Taiwan,

22:35 it can now block Japan from accessing the show of Malaca.

22:40 And that is a possibility Japan cannot permit.

22:44 So Japan would fight to ensure that Taiwan and China were never to unify.

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