No Peace or Prosperity While the Swamp Rules -- Martin Armstrong
Kerry Lutz's Financial Survival Network
0:00 it's always the same thing you can go to to delos which was like
0:05 the Temple of Apollo was kind of like the Federal Reserve of ancient times
0:10 they listed you know how many states borrowed from them and defaulted it was
0:15 the first you know Sovereign default
0:18 of the 4th Century BC so nothing's ever changed
0:21 this has been going on for a long time the financial survival Network now
0:28 more than ever and welcome this is
0:34 financial survival Network I'm your host Carrie
0:37 Lutz Martin Armstrong is on with us now and why we like came a couple
0:42 centimeters away from I don't know what was going to happen to the country
0:47 but it looked uh we can only imagine now and I guess that's
0:51 a good thing right true I mean I think you know the director just
1:00 uh of the Secret Service just resigned today um I mean it it's you
1:07 know I looked at the her testimony before uh uh Paulina from you know
1:13 the representative from Florida there and she
1:17 basically called her out as a perjurer
1:19 you know she said you know I understand you've been directed not to answer
1:23 uh by garet I mean it's I mean this is you know it just
1:29 seems like like we're back to JFK
1:31 times where you know nobody really knows what's
1:34 going on um and I I hope it doesn't take us more than 60
1:39 years to find out the truth don't you think it's amazing like RFK JR
1:45 could not get secret service protection until now and then we find out
1:50 that the Secret Service agents guarding Trump
1:55 had been asking for uh additional support uh
2:01 almost from the beginning of the campaign
2:03 and they they've repeatedly refused it I
2:09 you know I understand that there I mean look the the country is extremely
2:15 polarized there's no question about that but it's not just the United States you
2:19 go to Europe it's the same thing um I mean as you know we have
2:24 offices around the world and honestly I don't know anybody in any country it's
2:30 not um you know arguing against their government and it just seems to be
2:37 the the issue may be May differ but I think the the confidence
2:43 in in everybody's government is just collapsing
2:47 everyone hates nobody trust them anywhere right you
2:51 yeah I mean it's in the world where government maybe Argentina now right
2:58 that that's about the only exception right right now but I mean I just got
3:02 back from Europe and it was just unbeliev um I mean they had election
3:09 there on on the 9th June 9th and that was like um they were beside
3:14 themselves everybody flipped one way uh France
3:18 uh you know moved excessively against Penn
3:23 uh now they're looking at you know the the whole thing just been gridlock
3:29 uh I mean it's Britain flips I mean it's it it's not even a particular
3:37 philosophical left or right type thing it's just more or less whoever's in power
3:42 just throw them out I think that's basically what's going on hey so so
3:48 what's the computer saying now that uh we had the assassination attempt um you
3:54 said that like last time like Biden had an 8% approval rating that means
4:00 that probably Harris has about six and maybe she has eight the same 8%
4:06 that like the her predecessor um do you think that Biden's going to step
4:12 aside before the election um because there's
4:16 rumors now that he's on his deathbed
4:20 I don't know about that but they may use that as some sort
4:24 of an excuse um it politically you know I mean I mean from the beginning
4:30 of this year I've warned that look uh this was all going to be
4:34 a setup uh the Democrats wouldn't allow any other Democrat on the ticket
4:40 and that was for this purpose right and um Biden was to hold out until
4:47 the Republican convention to make sure the Republicans
4:51 don't even know who they're running against
4:54 right um and you know I've you know put out sever times that you
5:01 know there's different parties that that are
5:04 looking at trying to get uh into Power
5:08 uh Hillary's in there as well uh and you know uh basically what Hillary
5:16 was hoping for was that she would be drafted and take the magnanimous role
5:23 oh I don't didn't really want to do this but I'm doing it
5:26 for the country you know I'm here to save everybody you know that sort of thing
5:31 um uh camil is basically saying that she's in it for the game I
5:37 mean it this is nobody knows what's going to really happen at the convention
5:42 it's going to be an open convention so um she's claiming she has delegates
5:48 already lined up for the nomination uh it it's look the computer has not
5:56 changed I I stated at the beginning of this year that I was kind
6:02 of surprised uh because the computer had you know two of its six models
6:08 that Trump would get 61% and another one at 59 yeah the two
6:14 that that showed a democratic win were basically just one tick apart um so it
6:23 showed long before this this attempted assassination
6:27 that you're looking at um a a sharp
6:33 swing U and it it the model doesn't care who the candidate is
6:39 sure if it's Trump or another Republican it's not on a personal level
6:45 it's just basically showing that kind
6:48 of what we're seeing around the world whoever's
6:51 in power throw them out um so I think you know we've just seen
6:58 that in you know in Europe I mean in Canada you know um I mean
7:03 they just want to go after Trudeau like really really bad uh France we're
7:09 looking at I mean it's um so I I think that's what the computers
7:15 basically showing that the Republicans should win and that we're looking at a um
7:23 a sizable win which is unusual um and I say that because if you look
7:30 at most of the elections you'll see like Obama won 51 a half% you
7:35 know that's about it you know it's it's usually very close and they they
7:41 claim that one or two perent that they got is a mandate you know
7:45 to oppress the other side you know uh which it's not only three presidents
7:51 ever got more than 60% that was FDR one time uh Johnson after Kennedy
7:58 was assassinated which I guess was a sympathy vote uh and Richard Nixon when
8:03 he said he was going to take us out of Vietnam yeah uh any
8:07 you know anything else has always been just a few points above the other one
8:12 that's it um so for the computer to show 61 for one and 59
8:21 that's a pretty sizable difference uh which like I say hasn't been seen since
8:28 uh last time it was rich Nixon yeah it's amazing and uh and it
8:33 kind of makes sense you know uh the debate performance uh I mean it
8:40 it just smells of a setup look Marty like why are they having
8:44 the convention in Chicago right Chicago Illinois
8:48 is a democratic State it's you know no
8:52 swing state no benefit there um and setting the debates early to eliminate him
9:00 I think that was in the cards and who is from Chicago so everybody's theorizing
9:07 Michelle Obama is going to make an appearance here and come in but what
9:12 they're neglecting I think at this point is momentum is built behind Trump plus
9:18 the fact that a certain segment of uh our government apparently wanted to take
9:23 him out so uh so they don't like that they don't like seeing political
9:29 violence in the US and um you know is Camala Harris really going
9:35 to be the candidate or is it going to be uh Michelle Obama I don't
9:40 think she'll run if she doesn't believe 100% she can win that's my take
9:45 because being defeated by Donald Trump would uh scar her for life well I I
9:53 I think you you're correct in the in the fact that the debate
9:59 if you recall the beginning of the year there were going to be no
10:05 debates and Biden was saying oh Trump isn't worthy to even debate so all
10:11 of a sudden you know they create the debate which was unprecedented because you
10:17 don't debate before you're even a candidate
10:22 right you you debate the other people
10:24 in you're in a primary but you don't you know this is the first
10:28 time there was Aid presidential debate before
10:31 either one was ever nominated usually they
10:34 come afterwards so that was a setup and then he was I'm in it
10:40 for the for the Long Haul and he only drops out after the RNC
10:45 takes place so I mean they did this even with um Feinstein from California
10:52 they told her you know yeah stay do not you know die in office
10:58 because you know basically otherwise a republican
11:01 can take your seat I mean these people
11:03 will eat their own you know they don't care about the individuals I really
11:08 feel sorry for Biden I mean yeah you know almost do they trashed the guy
11:13 you really feel bad for him he had no business running in 2020 I
11:18 wrote an article called the emperor has
11:21 no cortex dealing with exactly this and any
11:24 it was plain to anyone who ever had an elderly relative in a nursing
11:28 home that this guy was not up to the task there's no question so
11:34 what my audience what you guys out there want to know is what does
11:38 it mean for the economy what does it mean for the markets what does
11:42 it mean for assets for gold crypto all that stuff with the impending election
11:48 or reelection of trump and what's really interesting we should note is the last
11:54 time a president served non-consecutive terms was
11:57 back in the day of Grover Cleveland and he was the only ex-president former
12:03 president to run against an incumbent president
12:08 and in many ways this has a lot of parallels I know you're into economic
12:13 history and history in general tell tell us what you think about that well
12:19 I mean yes that it was Grover Cleveland who was a Democrat and back
12:24 then it was the Silver Democrats that were inflating the economy and he ran
12:30 and in the Panic of 1893 he's basically uh land blasted them and and he
12:36 said that you know this is um you know unsound Finance is what is
12:42 destroying the country and what is interesting
12:48 from that point of uh of perspective
12:52 there is that that's when there was a a march on Washington by a business
13:01 small businessman named coxley and they gathered
13:05 you know lots of people and they ended up there in Washington they eventually
13:10 arrested him to shut down free speech
13:13 uh oh he walked on the grass you know so they threw him
13:16 in prison for that this sounds familiar doesn't it I mean I thought you look
13:21 it's always the same if you got a million laws you everybody you know
13:27 there's a book out I think everybody creates uh you know something like 50
13:31 felonies a day you just don't know it yeah when you wake up
13:36 but the time you wake up till you you go to the bathroom you committed five
13:40 or six right oh yeah look you you can you know there's so many
13:45 laws on so many different things it's crazy um and I mean you know
13:53 and and they're all every country is the same you go to to to uh
13:58 Switzerland uh it's illegal to do your wash on a Sunday it's illegal
14:03 for man to get up in the middle of the night stand and urinate
14:08 because that might make too much noise to offend The Neighbor Next Door uh
14:14 I mean you can't even make up some of this stuff Florida because with all
14:18 these old people half the jails would be filled with old people getting up
14:22 in the middle of the night to urinate right I know um that's always
14:28 been the joke about what are you in prison for I ripped a tag
14:32 off the off the pillow you know off the bed right you're to detach
14:36 that tag right yeah you you get five years in jail for that one
14:41 you know um but look this is been a setup people really should be
14:48 outraged because um this is just a back room deal yeah uh oh we're
14:55 defending democracy they wanted to remove Trump
14:58 from the ballot we're defending democracy really
15:01 you keep RFK off the ballot uh this is about democracy I mean and you
15:07 only have one choice and then they say oh Putin you know eliminated all
15:12 his his competition so of course he won 88% well isn't that what Biden
15:18 did only one guy on the ticket exactly the same thing um so it's
15:26 it's not Biden so much this is the back room deal and people have
15:30 to understand that um the swamp is in real in control that's where Trump
15:38 didn't quite get um try writing to your right he thought he could make
15:44 a deal with the swamp but you know what when you make a gets
15:48 sucked under it ju you know try
15:53 writing a letter or or contacting your representative
15:57 you got to get past their staff yeah all right you'll never get
16:02 to talk to them and their staff basically are are the swamp they are there
16:07 all the time they just move
16:09 from candidate to candidate and they control everything
16:16 they control what the politicians even allowed to hear um people don't realize I
16:21 mean I've been down at you know Washington and I've seen it firsthand um
16:28 so I mean this is the the likelihood we're going to get um even
16:34 a a mini crash going into September uh these people are the whole attempt
16:42 on on Trump's life is because he is anti-war the same as JFK exactly all
16:51 right um so they basically have wanted to keep get him off the the ballot
16:59 every they've done everything they possibly can Garland has been behind the all
17:05 the the lawsuits against Trump he's in contempt of congress refuses to turn over
17:12 evidence all right and and you know
17:15 they recommend that he be prosecuted but he's
17:17 in charge of the doj and the doj is never going to prosecute
17:21 their own that's like this whole thing is right look I mean we the computer
17:30 basically shows that's what I've been saying
17:32 that we're republics are the most corrupt
17:34 form of government in history because everybody's
17:38 basically for sale you know you've got
17:41 a deep state that gets in there and it it's all just gonna Crash
17:45 and Burn from this type of activity uh you can't get anywhere will'll never
17:53 get reform um you take what's going on here uh with war why do
18:00 they need War all right we know that when you and I were younger every
18:08 everybody was interested in uh you know
18:11 World Peace nobody's interested in World Peace
18:15 anymore why um now it's just war war war I mean as I said
18:22 I just got back from Europe and NATO is preparing at rapid speed for War
18:30 uh our staff in Germany had just told me that one of her friends
18:34 who was 59 years old was called up they're calling up 900,000 people
18:40 in Germany for war for what are they and up to 60 years old are
18:45 they going to Ukraine is that the point of this Ukraine has just been
18:51 the Vanguard nobody cares about ukrainians they
18:54 really don't care all right if they
18:56 ever car they would you know look over a million have now died
19:02 all right there there was a peace deal on the table Boris Johnson hopped
19:08 on the plane went over and told zilinski you can't you know that's it
19:12 you got to kill it we don't want peace ukrainians that I know uh basically
19:19 are you know they Now understand they're not in control of their own country
19:24 no we know zalinski has has suspended all elections because he know he would
19:29 be thrown out um the people voted for peace and they cannot have peace
19:36 over 10 million have been have lost their homes and moved you've got nearly
19:40 10 million have fled the country um I mean this is you know where
19:46 is this beneficial to Ukraine good question it's not all this has been about
19:53 uh you even have uh lindsy Graham you know a video I put it
19:58 on our site he's in a meeting with zinski yeah and he basically says you
20:04 know we're this is the best money we ever spent killing Russians this is
20:09 it I mean if you said that uh you know on the street in United
20:14 States it's a hate crime yeah they get away with it all the time
20:19 this is about going after Russia period I mean I was down in DC
20:26 uh when Reagan was elected and they were all upset about that and I
20:31 said what's the problem they said' oh you don't understand I saidwell okay fine
20:36 tell me what what's the issue oh he's a governorate me yeah they said
20:41 he's a governor we're gonna have to train him I said what they don't
20:46 like anybody from outside of Washington that's
20:48 why they don't like Trump they don't
20:50 like RFK same thing all right so what we're looking at here is uh
20:57 really I mean it it is a coup they basically want to have everything
21:05 their way uh and a lot of people don't understand what is the real
21:13 role of the president he sets up a cabinet the head of all
21:19 these agencies um and he's really the referee
21:23 because they're all like two-year-old children every
21:26 one of them wants its own way all right so just look you got
21:31 you got blinkin in charge of of the state department he's a real neocon he's
21:37 threatening World War everywhere he can uh
21:40 threatening China over Taiwan but China is
21:43 the number one holder US debt yeah so then you have Janet Yellen hopping
21:48 on a plane running over there please continue to buy our debt they dumped
21:53 53 billion the first quarter and then you know you have you know them
21:58 saying let's see you want us to buy a hundred billion of your debt
22:03 so you can buy missiles to shoot us I mean it's just it's it
22:09 Washington is in complete chaos um they are afraid of trump yeah because Trump
22:18 would you know has basically said he he'd end the war and all you got
22:23 to do is honor the mince agreement that's it and the war would be
22:27 over remember remember uh when did Kennedy get taken out when he said I'm
22:32 bringing home the advisors and he wouldn't bomb uh also he wouldn't bomb the Bay
22:37 of Pigs and all of a sudden he was gone um when did Nixon
22:42 get removed uh when he threatened to go public with uh with the uh
22:49 plan that was executed to take out Kennedy right I mean am I off
22:54 the wall here am I just a crazy conspiracy the no I mean there's
22:57 there's tape there's tapes on that the head of the CIA was in his office
23:01 and he said to him I know who killed uh JFK right um
23:10 and I mean the the so-called burglers that fumbled Watergate I mean most it was
23:18 like an amateis job and three of them were xcia come on hey
23:25 and who was at the uh who was actually at the de Plaza right it
23:30 was e Howard hunt and we have a deathbed confession from him and hey
23:36 the CIA created the term conspiracy theorist
23:40 to deal with people who didn't believe
23:42 the results of the Warren Comm right isn't that true look I yeah I
23:48 mean this is you know as soon as they start calling it a conspiracy
23:53 theory I see shirts like I need more conspiracy theories because they all come
23:57 true okay but I have a shirt that says I identify as a conspiracy
24:02 theorist my pronouns are told you so yeah I mean that that's I mean
24:12 they want war you have these neocons and I know some of them U
24:18 Bill Crystal's father basically is credited
24:21 with starting them um and I know Bill
24:25 he even spoke at one of our conferences he wanted to take out Sadam
24:30 Hussein Gaddafi and Assad and I argued with him he said oh we take
24:36 them out that would create peace in the Middle East I said no it's not
24:39 you can't change regimes all right you know you you look at Su
24:44 you know that you know what's
24:47 the difference with Iran they're Shiite versus Sunni
24:52 this is like Catholic versus Protestant you
24:54 know you're not going to solve that right
24:57 it's crazy exactly I mean even in Germany it's the same I I was
25:02 in Bavaria and they said oh it's a holiday today I said what's the holiday
25:06 we won the war I say which war is this oh against Prussia because
25:10 Bavaria is Catholic and the north is Protestant I mean that would pathetic so
25:17 what does it mean for the economy Trump gets elected are we gonna have just
25:21 more chaos because now it sounds like he's going to win with a mandate
25:26 that we haven't seen in a long long time is that going to be
25:30 enough to shut them up or are they going to be after him
25:33 from day one no they're going to be after him from day one there's too
25:36 much there's look these people have been at this their whole life they hate
25:44 Russia they hate China they were Communists
25:49 my opinion from actually talking to these people
25:52 I think um when kusf came out and said we will you know we're
25:57 going to bury you they got all you know riled up and said we
26:01 we're going to spread democracy to the world all right well when communism
26:07 fell they didn't stop all right like I said when I was down there
26:11 with Reagan Reagan wanted to go meet with gorbachov their advice I can tell
26:16 you was don't go to meet with him you can never trust the Russian yeah
26:23 and he didn't listen and he went and the burland war fell if he
26:28 listen to them the Berlin Wall would still be up but we' still be
26:31 in a cold war um I honestly the only thing I can explain why
26:39 these people are just so such warmongers
26:43 is that they grew up hating Communists you
26:48 have McCarthy era all that stuff um and then when communism fell all
26:53 by itself I think they just got mad that they didn't get to shoot anybody
26:58 um they've always just wanted War that's it uh so um I think that's
27:06 that's the issue and they're not going to give this up uh they hate
27:11 Russians period and um look I mean you take what I find strange you
27:20 have Garland you have blinkin and you V have Victoria Newland all three of them
27:26 Trace their Heritage to uh to Ukraine and all three of them say
27:31 that the Russians persecuted their families how
27:36 three of them how the three of them
27:39 get that close to power unless this was designed um good question it's
27:46 just I don't know it it it it just seems as they have weasel
27:52 their way all the way up to the top to carry out personal vendettas
27:57 I suppose I don't know um I just find it very very strange and I
28:03 don't see them backing off um I think Plan B is to start uh
28:12 some sort of a war before Trump takes office to try to trap him
28:18 into it um they're already beginning to roll out the things that uh you
28:23 know because he wants peace oh he's a puppet of Putin uh um so you
28:29 know expect that one uh and uh they just want war and simple
28:36 as that and I don't think they're going to stop I think uh be very
28:41 careful because I think they're going to try to set up some sort
28:45 of a false flag in August you know to September um the market probably would
28:52 have a mini crash going into that usually markets will decline first um
29:00 on a on a prospect of war and then later resettle and then begin the rally
29:06 um so I you know you know we're we're clearly going into recession uh
29:13 the computer showing that into 2028 uh and uh look these people have created
29:23 the inflation but with the the sanctions that they imposed on Russia have only
29:30 backfired on on the west but U economically but also it created the bricks
29:41 um China and other countries start saying wait a minute if you're going to use
29:46 the doar as a as a weapon um then you start dividing the world
29:52 economy um when Russia went into Crimea back in 2014 Obama went to Swift
30:00 and wanted to have them removed and they refused they wouldn't do it so
30:03 they replaced the head of Swift in 2019 he does whatever they want he's
30:08 destroyed the world economy there's there's no
30:11 longer a global Trend yeah so there's
30:15 no coming back from this then is there I don't think so you're going
30:20 to head into particularly with war and you got NATO honestly NATO is moving
30:27 so rapidly to war um they're giving Ukraine uh every option to go ahead
30:35 invade Russia bomb Moscow if you want uh oh it's not us so it's
30:41 like you hire somebody to kill your spouse and say okay here's the gun
30:45 you pulled the trigger I didn't do it you know come on uh that's
30:49 still conspiracy so Russia knows this question is um so is this good for gold
30:59 and uh and all of that yes I mean I think I mean that's
31:07 part of the reason the confidence in in government when that collapses all right
31:14 then you move back towards private sector assets right um gold will go up
31:20 I would be concerned more about um you know just you know storage facilities
31:26 things of that nature because they can always be seized but um even if
31:31 you go back to the 1840s when all the states defaulted after the panic
31:37 of 1837 um the stock market Rose yeah because when you're when government is
31:45 defaulting and you can't trust their bonds
31:48 the flight equality reverses right all right
31:53 1929 we had a balanced budget so the power went up and the stocks went
32:00 down all right you have you know that's the flight to Quality I
32:05 mean Andrew melan basically said it back then when somebody asked him when is
32:10 the market going to Peak and he said very simply he says when gentlemen
32:16 uh prefer bonds of course MN Monroe
32:19 turned it into blonds later the original quote
32:22 was bonds um and that's what he was talking about the flight quality when
32:27 you're concerned about the private sector you go to the government but this time
32:32 the government's the problem yeah so you really want to sell all your stocks
32:37 and buy government bonds I don't think you want to do that the whole purpose
32:41 of war is you can look at every one of these wars and what
32:47 happens a new government is formed that new
32:51 government defaults on the old right uh
32:55 you can go on eBay and buy Continental currency then look at the Constitution
33:00 Constitution said they were going to honor all the debts of the of the previous
33:04 government they never did they lied all
33:07 right and that's right in the Constitution
33:12 so um you can buy bonds from all the various governments I mean
33:17 they all defaulted I mean uh this is what they're looking for all right
33:23 they create War that's excused to default on all these debts they cannot p
33:29 uh and then they get to start all over again all right so what
33:32 are we looking at here gold is gold the best place to be what
33:40 uh gold I think also you'll see the stock market come down first maybe
33:47 make a low in by September it depends when what these people are going
33:51 to stage but September looks to be a very wild uh period on our computers
33:59 um so I would expect something along those lines maybe even you know
34:04 Biden steps down at that point because they got to give Camila a chance
34:09 to pretend that she's government you know
34:11 the president president so suddenly he'll get sick
34:15 and step down whatever but um this is just their playbook this wag
34:21 and it's all written in they do it all the time the dog right pretty
34:30 much it's you know yeah that movie you know you know the they created
34:37 a war all fictional to get to win an election I mean this is
34:42 you know a lot of this stuff a lot of these Hollywood movies are
34:46 sometimes you know at least begin with a kernel of Truth yeah yeah well
34:52 remember that and remember what happened
34:54 to the director after he thought that he
34:57 was uh actually a player and not just a pawn and what did they do
35:03 to him they removed him right look this is um the Press is all
35:11 on board with the government um you know they you know they think they're
35:18 um you know RFK ABC NBC CV CVS nobody will give him an interview
35:27 um they're trying to to bury him as much as they possibly can they're
35:32 even trying to take him off with some ballots to make sure he never
35:35 gets on some states because they're worried
35:38 about him taking votes away from them
35:42 um listen this is about winning it's not about law it's not about ethics
35:49 or country and God and it's I gotta win and I don't care what it
35:54 is it's all about power so that's what you you know that's the swamp
36:00 hey it's that's what we're dealing with what is it about power Marty that is
36:06 so intoxicating and makes these people they'll do anything to get it and to keep
36:13 it what is it about that I don't I don't really know um
36:20 I would say look the vast majority of the swamp are bureaucrats they were
36:27 there for their entire life all right um you know they're not from the private
36:35 sector I mean the you know we there should be term limits on everything
36:42 um I mean just look at you know Victoria Nan's husband is the one
36:47 that came out with the article in the Washington Post and accused Trump
36:51 of being a dictator and he responded yeah I'll be a dictator for one day
36:56 and every go see he said going to be a dictator it was
36:58 her husband that put it in why
37:01 because Victoria nulan was in every Administration except
37:04 for trumps yeah funny how that works
37:08 huh yeah it's very funny and her sister-in-law
37:11 runs the institute for the The Institute for the study of War every
37:17 article that you look at oh Russia's weak we can beat them whatever
37:21 The Source Victoria Nan's sister-in-law um so so how H how high can gold go
37:30 and how high can the stock market go we talked about 60 something thousand
37:34 for the market for the Dow how high can gold go 5,000 10,000 yeah
37:40 the Dow can go clearly to it it can go to 60 to 65
37:44 that's our our first Target was four
37:47 40,000 which we have reached then there would
37:50 be a pause uh and then you know the next big level is 60
37:55 to 65 um and what you have to understand is what is going to create
38:01 that and the same thing with gold um it's a it's basically war
38:09 and that's what our computer has been
38:11 projecting we're going into war probably it's going
38:15 to you're looking at it peaking around 2027 right um so for three years
38:21 it's going to look pretty bad that's also um our computer projecting that we're
38:27 looking at a recession going into 2028 before that reverses as you go
38:33 into war there's shortages inflation Rises um
38:38 Capital controls if you're in Europe you you
38:41 know you better get your money out of there first because you're not going
38:44 to get it out later um and look this is basically it you know
38:53 rationing and shortages creates inflation uh so we're
38:59 looking at more of a of a stagflationary
39:02 trend with Rising inflation um and uh lower economic growth and uh you
39:13 have to understand when when pal at the Federal Reserve came out last December
39:18 he sees this coming last December he
39:23 criticized the Biden Administration said this spending
39:26 is UN sustainable that's the first time
39:29 the Federal Reserve has criticized the current
39:32 Administration since 1951 um all these people
39:38 oh but you know Pal's going to lower
39:41 rates uh he knows war's coming rates are not going to decline
39:48 in in the face of War they're just not that's when spending is going to go
39:52 up even more and the big problem is and all our research when do
39:59 people don't understand much about the economy
40:04 and governments in debt they keeps all$
40:07 34 trillion doll it's got to collapse no the collapse comes when people are
40:13 no longer willing to buy it it's got nothing to do with the level
40:17 of debt when you can't sell the new debt that pay off the old
40:22 that's when the default comes right um as long as somebody's willing to buy
40:27 it they can keep kicking the can down the road now this is
40:32 a significant issue with blink and threatening
40:36 China and they dumped 50 you know three
40:39 billion the first quarter yeah they certainly not gonna they're not going to be
40:46 buyers all right so all of a sudden you're you're reducing the demand this puts
40:53 us in that risk position if you can't sell the new debt then rates
41:00 go up to attract more people correct so and the FED only controls the shortterm
41:09 rate not the long-term that's what quantitative easing was all about he went
41:16 in to start buying in the the long-term debt to reduce the supply to lower
41:22 the long-term interest rate the FED can't set that that's what you know
41:27 the whole quantitative easing was about right
41:32 the FED can only set the short-term rate
41:35 but the spread between long-term and shortterm
41:38 widens during war sure you really want
41:42 to buy a bond for 10 years at a fixed rate you know when you
41:46 have no idea what's going to happen I wouldn't and they usually default
41:51 at the end yeah of course so stay away from the Government Bond stuff um
41:58 and even buying 30-day paper beware when Italy was in trouble what did they
42:05 do they couldn't pay it oh we're converting it to 10 years yeah the government
42:13 could do whatever it wants nobody's going to prosecute him just like garlands
42:18 in contempt to Congress oh it you
42:21 know they can recommend he should be prosecuted
42:24 but he's in charge of the doj they're not going to prosecute their yeah
42:29 well they have that inherent temp power uh but they don't want to use
42:35 it where the Congress can order the uh the house can order the sergeant
42:40 at- arms to go lock somebody up right um Good Luck yeah but nobody
42:46 I I think he'd find a a a a firing squad if he tried
42:52 to enter the Department of Justice yeah it could right I'd love to see it
43:00 yeah look but it's never going to happen right no it's not going
43:04 to happen they're not going to drag him out although he deserves to be um
43:10 and you know it it just shows you how corrupt the system is he
43:16 anybody else can contempt to Congress um
43:21 I mean Trump advisors are in in contempt
43:24 to Congress and in prison yeah they no problem throwing them in right it's
43:29 funny how that works you know it's look it's that's why I say republics
43:37 are the most corrupt form of government in history um and most people don't
43:43 know I am going to do a book on it because I I think
43:47 it's so misunderstood when Caesar crossed
43:50 the Rubicon all the cities opened up opened
43:54 their Gates and cheered why because there was a debt crisis and the bankers
44:00 were basically the Senators the Senate fled to Asia you know and ciso oh
44:08 he was a dictator well so were you you know but the point is if
44:11 you couldn't pay your debt back then what did they do if you borrowed
44:16 $100,000 for a house and they say it's only worth 50 now they didn't
44:20 take the house back and say you're even no they took the house back
44:25 and they wanted the extra 5050 Grand so what what happened if you couldn't
44:30 pay that they took your children and sold them into into slavery a little
44:35 bit different that's why the people cheered
44:38 when when Caesar crossed to Rubicon because
44:41 they also thought he was going to to abolish all debts yeah it was
44:46 a debt crisis yeah that's right they want to talk about that and that was
44:50 a real estate crisis too right the the death yeah I mean on by real
44:55 estate crisis speculating in all the the new found land Etc and I
45:04 mean how corrupt it was the high priest was in charge of of inserting
45:11 leap days okay um if they didn't want to go to election they bribed
45:17 him give us an extra couple months when Caesar crossed the Rubicon it was
45:22 January 10th it should have been winter it was summer yeah that's why we
45:27 have the Julian calendar he went
45:29 in standardized it and removed this discretionary power
45:34 from the high priest yeah and that's why we got and the Julian when
45:40 you when you can start manipulating the the calendar so you don't have
45:44 to go to election it sounds like
45:46 zalinsky suspending elections during the war which will
45:50 as long as I keep it going I never have to stand for election
45:53 you know yeah well hey the more things change the more they stay the same
46:00 right that's why history repeats it's not that the uh issues repeat it's it's
46:08 that human nature never changes yeah it's always the same they were real estate
46:14 panics they were buying borrowing money from uh the the temple in Athens
46:20 to speculate in real estate when the real
46:22 estate collapsed they couldn't pay then all
46:25 of a sudden everybody was shocked that the Temple of Athens had lost so
46:28 much money what were you doing the high priest was paying off people yeah
46:33 I mean it it's always the same thing you can go to to delos
46:39 which was like the Temple of Apollo was kind of like the Federal Reserve
46:42 of ancient times they listed you know how many states borrowed from them
46:48 and defaulted it was the first you know Sovereign default of the 4th Century BC
46:53 so nothing's ever changed this has been going on for a long long time
46:58 yes it has and uh it always will I guess so we're just the latest
47:04 uh greatest uh version of History right
47:11 every nation rises from a magnanimous level
47:15 becomes corrupt and then Falls and is buried in in a common grave if
47:21 that was not true we would also be speaking Babylonian and and and it
47:26 keeps happening over and over again right this play continues on the the Romans
47:34 the uh Greeks the Babylonians it doesn't
47:38 matter what country you're talking about what
47:40 Empire because uh just like you're seeing with Trump and trying to take him off
47:46 the ballot all everybody acts in their own
47:50 self-interest period it's not about law
47:54 it's how can I use the law to make it sound like like I'm doing
47:57 something that's magnanimous and it's it's just not like I said coxley led
48:03 the most people don't realize but coxley
48:05 who marched on Washington uh asking for Washington
48:10 to create what F you know FDR eventually made is the the W you
48:16 know PA that March on Washington one of the guys in that March all
48:23 right turned it into a children's book that's basically um you know you know
48:32 the the whole march on you know Follow the yellow brick road which was
48:38 the gold standard uh the lion was supposed to be William Jennings Brian the Tin
48:44 Man was supposed to be uh the industrial eror and uh then you had
48:49 the Scarecrow agriculture it was you know basically that was the the march
48:56 on in 1893 yep that's all where socialism began it it everything all right so
49:05 you're pretty safe in the stock market maybe a mini crash coming up maybe
49:09 a war if Trump gets in is yeah I would look at the stock
49:14 market it's going to back off um short term here probably going into September
49:20 I look at that that period in time um like I say they're probably
49:26 going going to try Plan B at this stage in the game they're not
49:30 going to give up trust me they're not going to give up they missed Trump
49:34 the first time I hope they don't try to assassinate him or give
49:39 him some bird flu shot that he dies with a heart attack or something
49:43 but um um they they are Relentless trust me they there's too much
49:50 on the table for them to just walk away yep agreed agreed all right well hey
49:57 go over to Armstrong economics.com sign
50:01 up for Marty's uh very informative misses
50:05 that come out regularly during the day and the week and hey if you got
50:09 a question for Marty or myself KL at klutz.com that's the email address
50:15 and we'll get you back and answer quickly and while you're at it you find
50:19 a link to Marty site on financial survival network.com sign up for your free
50:24 newsletter Marty I'm sure we'll be talking
50:26 again soon uh the election's right around
50:29 the corner you know it's hard to believe it's like it's it's it's a less
50:35 than four months away I mean three three and a half months and uh
50:40 it's going to be turmoil chaos and all that good stuff so be prepared
50:45 and uh I don't know about you but I'll be buying some gold yeah
50:50 it's well it's the Chinese curse may you live in interesting times and these are
50:55 the most interesting ever thanks so much Wy thanks a lot see you again