How AI is changing the job market - What in the World podcast, BBC World Service
BBC World Service
0:00 I have now been looking for a job for a year,
0:03 with more than 200 applications sent.
0:06 How much longer will I be kind of stuck in this limbo?
0:10 I guess between school and, you know, adulthood.
0:14 Most people I know have been impacted by layoffs at least once, if not twice.
0:19 Hey, it's Hannah here.
0:20 Welcome to What in the World, the podcast for all of your news,
0:23 trends and talking points from the BBC World Service.
0:27 Applying for jobs is really tough.
0:29 You've got to scour the internet for ads and then put
0:32 in all of that time and mental energy on an application,
0:35 and that's before you've even found out if you've got an interview.
0:38 But some people have been finding that process even harder than normal.
0:42 They've been putting in loads of applications and never hearing back.
0:46 And we've all heard the chat about AI taking our jobs.
0:49 And there have been some recent studies that suggest that AI is
0:52 making it harder for younger people and grads to get their first jobs.
0:56 So is AI after your job and what can you do to adapt?
1:04 I'm speaking to Nathalie Jimenez, a BBC reporter in New York.
1:07 Hey, Nathalie.
1:08 Welcome back.
1:08 Hi.
1:09 Thank you so much for having me.
1:11 Okay, so firstly this chat about AI taking entry level jobs.
1:15 How big of a problem is it?
1:17 What do the studies say?
1:18 So I mean the quick answer is yes.
1:21 We're going through an AI disruption phase.
1:24 That's the phrase that you're often going to hear.
1:26 So yes, AI is starting to replace jobs and particularly entry level jobs.
1:31 Those are the first on the chopping block.
1:33 And that's because they're often administrative,
1:37 they're digital, they're repetitive.
1:40 They're basically jobs that AI can learn quite easily,
1:43 make more efficient, go faster.
1:46 That's very attractive to companies that are starting to look to cut costs.
1:50 So yes, young people are suffering the most.
1:52 And we see that in the numbers too.
1:54 Stanford did a study and it said that since late 2022,
1:58 right when ChatGPT went big, people aged 22 to 25 have seen a 13% drop
2:04 in jobs in roles that are easy for AI to handle.
2:08 So I'm talking software development, marketing, customer service.
2:12 Meanwhile, older workers are not affected in the same way.
2:15 So that's why the study essentially calls
2:17 young people 'canaries in the coal mine'.
2:20 There's a real problem because if people aren't being accepted at entry level,
2:24 then they can't progress up the chain and then they can't get the expertise
2:27 to get to those kind of more secure mid and top level jobs,
2:30 the ones where they have those soft skills
2:33 that can't be imitated or replaced by AI.
2:36 And of course, this isn't the only thing
2:38 that's affecting the US job market at the moment.
2:41 What are some of the other things that have been going on for young people?
2:44 Right.
2:44 So this is kind of part of a bigger shift.
2:46 So we obviously have macroeconomic factors.
2:48 So after the pandemic there was a chilling in the job market.
2:51 Basically people are hiring less.
2:53 So that's one of the issues that we're dealing with too.
2:55 There is an oversaturated market.
2:57 More people have college degrees so there
3:00 are more people applying for administrative jobs,
3:03 less so, you know, jobs in in retail.
3:06 Those jobs in retail, in healthcare,
3:08 the ones that need a little bit more human interaction,
3:11 they're still going, people are still hiring.
3:14 Whereas the ones that need maybe, you know,
3:17 a college degree in the sense of computer science, that was a job that was very,
3:21 very in demand a few years ago, now that's starting to decline.
3:25 So, yeah, the macroeconomic shifts right now in the economy, it's not great.
3:30 And then AI and then an oversaturated market, it's like the perfect storm.
3:35 And let's hear from some of you guys who got in touch and are looking for work.
3:38 This is Zola in France.
3:40 I work in the fields of arts and culture.
3:43 I hold two master's degrees, one in political and social sciences
3:47 and another one in cultural policy and administration.
3:50 I have now been looking for a job
3:53 for a year with more than 200 applications sent.
3:57 I think that on my part.
3:59 There are several frustrations that I'd like
4:02 to highlight within this job hunting process.
4:05 The lack of formal answers from employers,
4:07 the disregard for experiences linked to internship or traineeships,
4:12 or even voluntary contexts.
4:14 I do not believe that AI should or can truly replace an artist or a playwright,
4:20 but it has been increasingly used to do so in several cases.
4:24 And so for me, it is a growing political and ecological concern.
4:28 And we got this from Laura in the US.
4:30 I just know so many people applying to jobs right now.
4:34 And right, like every company, not even tech anymore, right?
4:38 The federal government, entertainment, media, consulting,
4:41 finance, they're all laying off people.
4:44 So every industry is, you know, getting impacted.
4:48 And right when more people are laid off, more people are looking for jobs,
4:53 but there just aren't enough spots for everyone.
4:55 I think it's so tough for young people to find jobs right now.
4:59 Because right when companies are laying people off,
5:01 they're usually laying off the most junior people, right?
5:05 So they lay off the 20 somethings who just started working, right?
5:09 That's what happened to me.
5:10 When they laid off my team at Google, it was all the newest hires, right?
5:15 So everyone, basically everyone in their 20s got let go.
5:18 I feel like most people I know have been impacted by layoffs at least once,
5:23 if not twice, if not twice.
5:25 And here is Tiffany, a recent graduate from New York.
5:28 The company that I worked at, I worked
5:30 at Apple when I was an intern last summer.
5:33 They didn't have the headcount for another, like a full time employee.
5:38 And there are a lot less new grad opportunities.
5:40 There used to be more specific new grad
5:43 programmes out there for seniors to apply to.
5:46 Sometimes I'll feel more motivated and hopeful,
5:49 especially if I've been interviewing or like I'm
5:52 in like the later ends of an interview stage,
5:55 I'll start feeling more hopeful, like imagining myself in this job already.
6:00 But other times, you know, like,
6:02 I'll be like waking up in the middle of the night or like,
6:05 I can't sleep and I'm just thinking about how much
6:07 longer will I be kind of stuck in this limbo,
6:11 I guess, between school and, you know, adulthood.
6:16 So it is a little sad sometimes, but I think it helps that I'm not alone.
6:20 And there are a lot of other people going through the same thing.
6:23 And talking about what some of the big companies have said, you know,
6:25 I've seen things from Duolingo and Amazon talking about how how
6:29 AI is going to change the way they hire in the future.
6:31 What is the message being sent out from these big companies right now?
6:34 So Amazon's CEO was pretty direct in a message
6:38 he sent to employees back in June.
6:40 He basically said that generative AI is going to reduce
6:45 the corporate workforce over the next few years quite significantly.
6:48 And that doesn't mean they're not going to hire anyone new.
6:51 They're still going to bring in people to teams
6:54 that are maybe a little bit more AI heavy.
6:57 But they expect to need fewer humans in general,
7:00 and that's going to land on youngest staff the most,
7:03 again, because they're doing these repetitive jobs.
7:07 But the ones that need less judgment, less critical thinking,
7:10 that's going to be replaced by AI,
7:12 that's where they're going to want to save money.
7:15 At Duolingo, the CEO has said pretty much the same thing.
7:18 They're AI first now.
7:21 They already cut contractors, they're striking employees.
7:25 And not only that, but they're actually
7:27 using AI as part of their evaluation process.
7:30 So they're looking at how their employees are using AI
7:34 in their day to day to make themselves more efficient.
7:36 So it's not just enough to do your tasks well.
7:39 The company now wants you to prove that you're using AI,
7:43 and you're thinking about how to improve the work you're doing with AI tools.
7:48 So before they approve new hires,
7:50 managers are also going to have to convince basically the company
7:55 why AI can't do it and why they need a human.
7:59 But AI is also changing the application process for people going for these jobs.
8:05 Both in terms of how like the computers are now choosing,
8:08 sorting through the CVs, sorting through tapes that people might send in.
8:12 So actually choosing who might make it to interview,
8:15 as well as people using AI to be able to write their CVS
8:19 and applications and making it harder for them to to stand out.
8:22 Yeah, exactly.
8:23 I mean, basically the job application process,
8:26 and you'll hear this from a lot of young hires,
8:28 people in the workforce, that it is changing.
8:31 Basically, when you used to apply for a job,
8:35 people used to be involved pretty quickly.
8:37 They used to look at your resume.
8:40 They used to maybe give you a call, skim, you know, your skills.
8:44 But now for lots of companies, the first reader is an algorithm.
8:48 It's AI.
8:49 Resumes are getting scanned by AI for keywords.
8:52 Some firms are using AI chatbots to ask screening questions.
8:56 Some AI programmes are even analysing video interviews to score your answers.
9:01 So by the time a human actually looks at your application,
9:04 you've already been ranked by a machine.
9:07 So essentially, AI is going to be part
9:11 of the most important segment of the hiring process, which is the beginning.
9:15 So a lot of people, even in my close circle,
9:18 the way that you're applying for a job has changed.
9:20 Like you're going to look at the keywords that you need to put
9:23 in your application to make sure that you
9:25 get flagged or chosen by these AI tools.
9:28 It's very formulaic.
9:29 That's why a lot of my friends are like,
9:31 'I don't want to write a cover letter, I just want to, you know,
9:33 go into my resume and put in those keywords that I need to get chosen' because
9:36 they know that a person is not going
9:38 to look at their application until much later.
9:41 Now let's hear the view from India.
9:43 I'm speaking to Varun Mayya,
9:44 who's a YouTuber and founder of the generative AI company Aeos.
9:48 Hi.
9:49 Hi.
9:49 Thank you for inviting me.
9:50 Yeah, it's great to speak to you.
9:52 So you're based in India.
9:54 How is AI affecting people's jobs there,
9:57 and which are the industries that are most affected?
10:00 To be very honest, I don't think AI has really affected too many jobs in India,
10:04 except for a little bit of exposure in software in India.
10:07 Salaries aren't really, really high,
10:09 so even if you are using a tool, an AI tool,
10:12 you'd still want a human being to sort of use that tool and run it,
10:16 because the person has accountability, the person has context.
10:19 But there's also this huge section of people
10:21 in India and all over the world that, you know, for lack of a better word,
10:26 their only job is to translate somebody else's instructions.
10:29 Somebody else has made those decisions, has decided how it's going to be solved,
10:32 and they're just translating that into code.
10:35 You know, the original use case for transformer was-
10:38 the technology behind LLMs (Large Language Models)- was for translation.
10:41 So if you are doing that last piece,
10:43 somebody else has come up with the idea, somebody else has written the spec,
10:46 somebody else is telling you this is exactly how you need to solve it,
10:49 this is the algorithm you need to use,
10:51 and then you're writing the code for it, yeah, then you're in trouble.
10:54 I think we've had zero people in the team,
10:57 in my avatar team, that have lost their jobs.
11:00 So we've actually had more work and a larger team.
11:02 In fact, the average creator, about two million followers across Instagram,
11:06 YouTube, would have a team about ten, 12 people.
11:09 Our team is slightly larger now.
11:10 It's about 16 people because the quantity of work.
11:12 We're also in a very hyper connected world.
11:14 So this is not ten years ago where you'd get like three or four opportunities.
11:18 Now you're getting like 30, 40 opportunities a month.
11:19 You want to take all of them on.
11:21 So we keep expanding the team to absorb some of those opportunities.
11:25 Varun, I want to bring it back to grads and grad
11:28 jobs because there is relatively high youth unemployment in India.
11:32 I think it's about 16% of under 24.
11:35 So I want to ask you, given all of the changes to the job
11:38 market and the technology that we have available,
11:40 and particularly these roles that we've talked about,
11:42 the ones that could easily be replaced by AI,
11:46 what advice would you give to a grad or a student
11:50 or a young person trying to get a job right now?
11:52 In all of these changes.
11:54 What I found to be really great for youngsters is to look at some,
11:58 is to look at an industry that's growing really fast,
12:00 where there's increasing demand,
12:02 but low supply of good talent or the supply of tools,
12:06 you know, are not very good.
12:08 The tools are not very competent at, you know,
12:11 and you feel you have a shot at beating those tools,
12:14 not just today, but for the next two or three years.
12:16 Varun, thank you so much for speaking to us.
12:17 Thank you for for having me.
12:18 Nathalie, what would your message be to people
12:20 who are graduating now in this ever changing world?
12:23 See, AI as your co-pilot.
12:25 AI is going to take care of the menial tasks, the repetitive tasks.
12:28 Now this is actually giving you an opportunity, for example, in college,
12:32 to maybe study things that are a little bit more considered soft skills.
12:36 So again, you're going to study computer science.
12:39 Why don't you go into philosophy?
12:40 Why don't you go into psychology?
12:42 What basically experts are saying right now is what's valuable are soft skills,
12:47 critical thinking, judgment, essentially what makes us human.
12:51 So if you can tap into that, if you can tap into what AI doesn't have,
12:56 what we can add to the AI process,
12:58 you're actually maybe going to get a more fulfilling job experience.
13:01 And again, industries like the health care industry or even
13:05 the green tech industry and what I mean by that is like,
13:09 you know, let's say solar panel construction,
13:11 you're going to want to go to these industries that are using AI,
13:15 but that also need people in order to think about the ethics of it,
13:19 in order to think about how to improve these AI systems,
13:21 we're really going to need to tap into who we are as humans
13:25 and what makes us human in order to stay competitive in the job market.
13:29 Nathalie.
13:30 Thank you.
13:31 Thank you.
13:32 That's it from us.
13:33 I hope you've enjoyed today's episode.
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13:47 I'm Hannah, this is What in the World from the BBC World Service.
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