Is the internet really dead?
Christophe
0:00 Because of my job, I read a lot of comments on the internet,
0:03 and some of them can be a little strange.
0:05 Alexistedceleti1989.
0:10 These can't be written by real people, right?
0:13 One subscriber joined nine hours ago.
0:18 Oh.
0:20 Oh!
0:22 What the- (quirky music) I've been thinking about this a lot,
0:26 because I see headline after headline about how bots are everywhere.
0:30 They're in YouTube comments, in Reddit threads,
0:32 in Instagram DMs, and all over X.
0:36 Some people go as far as to say that we've passed a major threshold,
0:39 and that the majority of what we see
0:41 on the internet isn't human anymore, it's bots.
0:45 The vast majority of the internet now is just bots.
0:48 Is just bots.
0:49 How many of these people are fake?
0:50 More often than not, the people you interact with aren't people at all.
0:54 I thought they got rid of the bots, though.
0:56 No.
0:57 No, the bots are back?
0:58 By mostly bots.
0:59 And there could be some truth to it.
1:00 A 2025 report claims that bots now make
1:03 up more than half of all internet traffic.
1:06 Does that mean that the threads, and feeds,
1:08 and comments that I read every day look like this?
1:12 Figuring out the answer matters.
1:14 We are collectively spending enormous amounts of time on social media,
1:19 so I set out to figure something out:
1:21 Am I reading, and engaging with, and reacting to real people on the internet?
1:27 And if I'm not, how would I know?
1:30 (quirky music) Okay, let's back up for a second.
1:38 I hear about bots in headlines all the time,
1:42 bots interfering with politics, bots duping us into scams,
1:47 bots amplifying internet outrage cycles, but I wanted to understand the basics,
1:54 like what is a bot and how does it work?
1:58 (quirky chiming music) If you look up bot farm on YouTube,
2:04 this video is the first result.
2:06 (operators speaking in foreign language) (quirky chiming music)-
2:12 MIN Software is a company based in Hanoi, Vietnam.
2:15 On their website, you can buy services like increased engagement on TikTok.
2:20 This video, racks of phones on a wall,
2:22 separate social media accounts all running on each phone,
2:25 it was kind of the stereotypical image I had
2:27 in my head of what's behind a bot network,
2:30 (operator speaking in foreign language)- but it turns out,
2:32 most of the time they run on servers with SIM cards,
2:35 like the ones you can see here
2:36 in these cybercrime busts by police in Latvia and Ukraine.
2:40 Bots like these might be programmed to post messages at a certain
2:43 time or to monitor something and post updates about it,
2:46 or to amplify a certain topic or account.
2:49 I learned that the majority of the time,
2:51 bots like these are not designed for high-level
2:53 propaganda or foreign interference, but for profit,
2:56 to make money by raising the prominence of something on the internet,
3:00 like buying followers on social media to make
3:02 an account look more popular than it actually is.
3:05 I've known for a long time that that is something that people can do,
3:09 but I wanted to understand how we can actually have proof when it's happened.
3:15 Before we dive deeper on bots, this is an 11-page report about someone,
3:20 or at least, what data brokers think they know about someone.
3:23 It's full of things like their address history,
3:25 their income range, criminal record, even some financial information.
3:30 And if you Google your own name right now, you'll find the same thing,
3:32 websites claiming that they have your personal data ready to sell to anybody.
3:37 Our personal info is a product, but you shouldn't have to go completely off
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4:21 There's probably more about you online than you realise,
4:24 and Aura can help you take control of it.
4:26 Okay, let's get back to the bots.
4:29 As I started diving into the research on social media bots,
4:32 there was one name that kept coming up
4:34 again and again,- Comments can be fabricated, fake.
4:37 The YouTube video, the view counts,
4:39 there's monetary incentives for influencers to have lots of followers.
4:43 (chiming music)- These charts show audience growth on X.
4:48 The X-axis tracks an accounts first follower,
4:51 all the way up to its most recent follower,
4:53 and the Y-axis tracks when that follower's account was created.
4:57 Here's NTV, a Turkish news channel.
5:00 The acquisition or the growth of accounts is quite organic,
5:04 that I can say easily.
5:06 Over time, NTV gained an audience of followers who'd
5:09 created their Twitter accounts across a broad time range.
5:12 When NTV gained its 3-millionth follower in 2015, for example,
5:16 its most recent followers had created their accounts in 2015,
5:19 2014, 2013, all the way back.
5:22 Some of those new followers had created their Twitter accounts as early as 2007.
5:27 The fact that this chart has a steady incline
5:29 shows that it grew its audience slowly over time.
5:32 Compare that to the distribution of account
5:34 creation dates on this politician's followers.
5:37 This is, for instance, an interesting one.
5:39 This particular account has 200,000 follower at the time of analysis,
5:43 so this is kind of like suspicious pattern.
5:46 This flat line indicates a sudden increase in followers in February,
5:50 2023, but all of this space is blank,
5:52 because those new followers didn't create their accounts over a broad,
5:56 organic range of time,
5:57 all of these new followers created their accounts at the same time.
6:01 Those are likely bots.
6:03 Onur's work focused on Turkey, where he lives.
6:06 but these charts would look similar for anyone who
6:09 purchased bot followers or had bots purchased on their behalf.
6:13 So when we're on social media,
6:15 we are sharing the platform with tonnes of these entirely automated accounts.
6:21 My next question was how would I recognise one when I see it?
6:27 I started to study lots of media literacy guides on how
6:30 to spot bots using clues like what their account looks like,
6:33 what they post, and how often they post.
6:36 Look at this account, for example, it has no bio,
6:38 it doesn't have many followers, it isn't following many accounts.
6:41 The account was created in 2019, and it was very active in 2019,
6:45 but it hasn't been active since then, and when it was active,
6:48 it posted very frequently, mostly quote tweets with hashtags.
6:52 These media literacy guides are a helpful
6:54 starting point for doing a manual check,
6:56 but Onur also showed me a tool that makes that whole process much more simple.
7:01 Boom.
7:02 Andreah83940354 gets a bot score of 4.5 out of 5, very likely a bot.
7:09 (quirky music) This is Botometer,
7:11 a bot detection algorithm that Onur developed back in 2014.
7:15 In Botometer, we were extracting lots of features, looking from content,
7:19 social network, to temporal dimensions of, like,
7:22 how frequently they are posting.
7:24 It works by analysing X accounts for features associated with bot
7:27 accounts and giving them a bot score from 0 to 5.
7:31 Okay, I'm a little disappointed I'm not a 0 out of 5, but I'll take it.
7:36 (quirky music) Using a bot detection algorithm like this to check
7:39 if an account is a bot or not is entertaining,
7:42 but by repeating this process again and again at a massive scale,
7:47 we can get an idea of how many
7:48 bots there are on an entire social media platform.
7:52 But wait, I thought we already knew
7:53 from this estimate that that number is over 50%.
7:56 This chart comes from a 2025 report
7:59 by a cybersecurity software company called Imperva,
8:02 and it generated a lot of headlines by claiming
8:04 that bots now account for half of all internet traffic.
8:08 I even covered it on this channel.
8:09 So why is this bot traffic rising?
8:11 When I first saw this, I assumed it meant that half of all posts,
8:14 content, and accounts on social media were generated by bots,
8:18 but Imperva's estimate includes all bot activity,
8:21 the bots that index websites for search engines,
8:23 the bots that commit cyber attacks,
8:25 or the bots that monitor website performance.
8:27 Social media bots are just part of all bot activity.
8:30 I wanted to know what percentage those bots were of all users on social media.
8:35 Social media platforms, if they do publicly provide a number,
8:39 will generally claim it's low.
8:41 Twitter reported in 2022 that fewer than 5% of its
8:44 daily active users were false or spam-based on an internal review,
8:48 and while platforms do have access to data that outside researchers don't,
8:51 they also have an incentive to under-report bots.
8:55 They're publicly traded companies,
8:56 and they want to report a high number of active, real users,
9:00 but by using those bot detection algorithms
9:02 on data sets from social media platforms,
9:05 researchers can make estimates of their own.
9:08 The only problem is that those estimates are all over the place.
9:12 (quirky chiming music) I talked to one
9:16 researcher who made one of those estimates.
9:18 I would say that the population on the bots is probably about 20%.
9:22 And I talked to another who doesn't think that estimates can be made at all.
9:26 I would advise uncertainty (chuckles).
9:28 I think I'm suspicious of any particular estimate.
9:31 So why do the estimates vary so much?
9:34 Bot detection algorithms are trained to look for signature bot-like behaviours,
9:38 but those algorithms differ.
9:40 They might disagree on whether a given account is a bot.
9:43 The data sets they're tested on also differ,
9:45 so the estimates aren't all really of the same thing.
9:49 It's an extremely frustrating answer to land on.
9:52 Bots are on social media platforms,
9:54 but the experts studying those bots don't all agree about whether or not
9:59 we can know just how many there are on any given platform.
10:03 They also don't agree about whether we can reliably
10:07 tell if something is a bot or not, at all.
10:10 But then I talk to someone who shook up my whole perspective on bots.
10:14 The mistake that a lot of researchers make is
10:18 they say a bot is an account that meets X, Y, and Z parameters.
10:23 You know, it tends to be extremely active, for instance,
10:27 it tends to have few followers and few followings,
10:31 it tends to have been created recently.
10:34 You know, you can name a number of different metrics that you
10:37 could put on something that is more likely to be a bot.
10:41 Bot detection algorithms rely on this idea that bots have
10:44 telltale signs where they just act differently than humans do.
10:46 Darren made the case that humans just
10:49 act too unpredictably to ever know for sure.
10:52 There's all kinds of reasons that a real person is
10:55 gonna be using a burner account and might be running,
10:58 you know, more than one account on more than one computer,
11:01 and if I can't point to a monetizable
11:03 reason (chuckles) why somebody is running a fake account,
11:06 I'm usually very hesitant to say that something is a bot.
11:12 There are other reasons to be sceptical when you see estimates like these.
11:15 For one thing, the estimates don't separate benign bots, like news updates,
11:19 from malicious ones that are the ones actually worth worrying about.
11:22 And even if, say, 20% of accounts on a platform are bots,
11:26 that doesn't mean that 20% of the content you see will be from bots.
11:30 Those bots could be concentrated in specific communities,
11:33 or they could be programmed to do simpler
11:35 tasks like engaging with content, not creating it.
11:38 The way we engage with those, they're not actually talking to us (chuckles),
11:42 they're just affecting a number,
11:44 they're affecting the probability that something might appear in our stream,
11:49 whatever platform we might be on, so, you know,
11:52 we're not engaging with those as though we're engaging with another human.
11:55 And that's most bots, they're just there to affect a number.
11:59 Darren told me that generative AI is changing that, it's
12:01 enabling bots to interact online in more convincingly human ways.
12:05 (quirky music) All of this left me with a pretty unsatisfying answer.
12:11 There are probably more bots than what platforms claim
12:14 and fewer bots than what the most pessimistic third-party estimates claim.
12:18 Whatever that number is, we aren't outnumbered by bots on social media,
12:22 and the internet isn't technically dead,
12:24 but I do think I might have learned why it feels that way,
12:27 because even if the grand majority of accounts online are still human,
12:30 what we actually wind up seeing online is
12:32 more and more shaped by forces that aren't human.
12:35 Early social media had this promise of authenticity and community, connection.
12:41 When algorithmic feeds came along, they tweaked that promise.
12:43 They promised to surface and curate the very best stuff for you,
12:48 but they also made it possible for other people to optimise
12:51 their way into your eyeballs by making things tailored for engagement,
12:55 and bots could exploit that system by making
12:57 things look more popular than they actually are,
13:00 so humans had to act a little bit more like
13:03 bots to make it to the top of the pile.
13:06 The reasons behind why we see what we
13:08 see online have gotten more and more abstract,
13:11 and that leaves us susceptible to big ideas
13:14 about just how inhuman the internet has become.
13:18 I think it's a knee-jerk reaction that we've almost been programmed- Programmed.
13:22 (both laugh) Yeah.
13:24 to put out there, that, oh, this is weird to me,
13:26 so it's a bot, and no, people are weird (laughs).
13:30 At the end of the day, people are weird.
13:32 We're weird in real life, we're even weirder online.
13:35 I think that, you know,
13:37 there's a real danger to looking at difference online and assuming
13:44 that that difference indicates that you're not a real person,
13:47 and to dismiss various attitudes and beliefs as, oh, that's just the bots,
13:52 when really it's just people that are different than us.
13:56 Making this video, I've learned that this idea that the internet
13:59 is dead and that social media is mostly made up of bots,
14:03 it's not literally true, but I don't think that the internet has to be
14:07 made up mostly of bots for it to feel dead,
14:11 it just has to feel like it's not entirely for us anymore.
14:15 Hey, thank you so much for watching.
14:18 We had a lot of fun making this video.
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14:48 Okay, see you next time.