Inside Marc Andreessen & Ben Horowitz’s Multi-Family Office
Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
0:00 Is it true this is the multi-family office of Mark and Ben?
0:03 It's a multi-family office for [music]
0:05 the principals here and a number of founders,
0:08 the many in fact backed by the company.
0:09 SpaceX is rumored and reported to to have
0:12 nearly a two trillion dollar IPO incoming.
0:16 How do you prepare early employees
0:19 and founders for these large liquidity events?
0:22 It'll be an interesting test of the markets if they can sort of I
0:25 mean that would be the largest IPO ever for the markets to digest that.
0:29 It'd be really interesting to watch.
0:30 Most of the independent firms have spun out of the banks.
0:33 Banks themselves don't train people to be professional investors.
0:36 These people are trained to be service providers.
0:38 [music] They're trained to be responsive, helpful,
0:40 but actual investment acumen when you're
0:42 at a large bank sits in a separate group.
0:44 You're rewarded as a wealth manager by how much you grow your book of business.
0:49 You're never trained to be an investment person per se.
0:52 So I'll see someone with their very very first liquidity,
0:55 they take it and instead of doing something
0:57 a little bit safe in case there's a rainy day,
0:59 they turn around and they'll put it in a bunch of very early stage startups.
1:02 You just sort of sit there and you're like,
1:03 "Listen, if you're going to do venture,
1:04 [music] at least try to do it in a systematic way.
1:07 Do not take 80% of what you just got and hand
1:10 it to your three friends." Almost always this ends in tears.
1:18 [music] [music] Michelle, welcome to sorcery.
1:26 Thank you.
1:26 I think this is one of your first podcasts in a very long time.
1:31 Yep.
1:32 First modern podcast.
1:35 First modern podcast.
1:36 And so you're the CIO of a16z Perennial.
1:40 Is it true this is the family office or multi-family office of Mark and Ben?
1:45 It's the multi-family office for the principals here and a number of founders,
1:50 not necessarily being backed by the company
1:51 but many in fact backed by the company.
1:54 So what's the structure of Perennial?
1:56 Okay, so I I think the reason why
1:58 we built Perennial or why we're building Perennial,
2:00 it's about four years in now.
2:03 Uh was a reflection on what's happening in the wealth management industry.
2:06 I think for starters, the principals here, Mark and Ben included,
2:11 um had been served by more traditional wealth management firms
2:15 and they looked to the LPs of a16z and saw,
2:18 you know, the big sovereign wealth funds,
2:20 the the big pensions have very high-end professional investment teams
2:26 come and then they look at the wealth management side,
2:29 uh how they were being served personally and, you know,
2:32 frankly I think most folks would agree they they felt sort
2:35 of underwhelmed with the quality
2:38 of the investment advice and the investment acumen.
2:41 Not the whole service provision, everything,
2:44 but specifically on the investment front.
2:46 I mean that was one issue.
2:48 Another issue or another point obviously is to build a community around a16z.
2:52 a16z is all about uh its community and so this is another way
2:56 to help founders uh in a different dimension of their personal life, right?
3:01 So if you can take that burden off their off their hands,
3:06 you know, ostensibly they can focus even more on the business.
3:09 Uh and and so it's it becomes much more of a a lengthier um relationship
3:15 with the founders because obviously you start
3:17 when you invest with them in their startup, but even post liquidity,
3:23 uh instead of having sort of an artificial
3:24 end point of your relationship with them,
3:26 you can continue uh helping them think about life after liquidity event, right?
3:32 In terms of philanthropy, asset management, legacy, all those kinds of things.
3:37 I want to get more into the Perennial strategy and structure,
3:40 but I think before that it would be great to just
3:42 dive even deeper into the state of wealth management today.
3:46 What have been the biggest problems drilling
3:48 down further into the issues that you've seen, how wealth is managed,
3:53 maybe the different types of wealth over time,
3:55 but structurally like what are the biggest problems there?
3:58 It's really interesting.
3:59 So there are basically there two approaches you can
4:01 use to have your wealth managed if you're wealthy individual.
4:04 One is you can go to the traditional RIA or wealth management channel.
4:08 And I'll talk about that in a second.
4:09 The other one is you can go to traditional asset managers.
4:13 Think, you know, the large asset management firms you know of, hedge funds,
4:17 PE shops, things like that.
4:19 And both those approaches I think have
4:21 their own sort of problems when you're dealing
4:23 with an individual that has an institutional
4:27 amount of wealth or will and are taxable.
4:31 Right?
4:31 These two these two the confluence of these two effects uh means
4:37 that the sort of the two standard
4:38 approaches I just described aren't really great.
4:40 So wealth management, traditional wealth management, most of these firms,
4:45 the independent firms have spun out of the banks and the banks
4:48 themselves uh don't train people to be professional investors, right?
4:52 They these people are trained to be service providers.
4:56 They're trained to be responsive.
4:57 They're trained to be helpful, but actual investment acumen when you're
5:00 at a large bank sits in a separate group.
5:03 And you're rewarded as a wealth manager
5:05 by how much you grow your book of business.
5:09 So you're never trained to be an investment person per se.
5:13 And then when you spin out, therefore,
5:14 you create your own large independent firm, it's again not a focus, right?
5:19 And so if you are so the way I
5:21 would characterize a lot of that product or that offering,
5:24 I would call it mostly retail product but with a veneer
5:27 of very high-end service when it comes to investing side.
5:30 Of course there's all the ancillary services around, you know,
5:32 household staffing and finding dog walkers
5:35 and nannies and things like that, right?
5:37 But um but but by and large the investment side of the function I think is is
5:42 just not of the quality that someone uh
5:45 with an institutional balance sheet should expect or deserves.
5:49 Right?
5:49 So there's that that that side.
5:51 By the way, there are also fee structure misalignments.
5:54 So um and this is a tangent, but I think it's an important one,
5:58 which is most of these firms rely on a relationship fee,
6:03 which is a flat fee that you pay no matter what you do.
6:06 And let me ask you the question.
6:07 If I if you're paid the same to do something easy or something difficult,
6:11 I think human nature is such that you'll do the easy thing, right?
6:15 And so you look at a lot of these firms that have the the flat
6:18 fee structure and you look at the at the portfolios that come to us.
6:22 We we see a lot of them coming
6:23 in and I would characterize those portfolios as very simple,
6:27 not very sophisticated.
6:28 Um very very focused on just standard market betas,
6:32 stocks and bonds and things like that.
6:34 Not a lot of focus on on alternatives.
6:38 And the reason being is for you to build an alternative offering,
6:42 you're going to have to go hire professional investors.
6:46 And professional investors are paid well.
6:49 They have growth ambitions.
6:52 It's very difficult for them to fit
6:54 into an organization that's not focused around investment, too.
6:58 So I think there's a lot of challenges even if you
7:00 wanted to grow an asset management or investment function inside an RIA.
7:04 I think it'd be very difficult.
7:06 So so the the flat fee arrangement, you know,
7:11 means that people do not invest in building out these alternative teams.
7:15 It's a lot of work.
7:16 It's a lot of effort and it's a lot of expense.
7:18 And if you make the same 40, 50,
7:20 60 bips doing that or just buying stocks and bonds,
7:24 you're going to buy stocks and bonds, right?
7:25 So by and large, so that industry I think is not teed up for it, you know,
7:31 a sophisticated portfolio that is deserving of someone that's got 50,
7:36 100, 200 million, let alone a billion dollars, right?
7:39 So that's one route.
7:40 And then the other route is
7:41 the traditional institutional asset management route.
7:43 And those guys, their biggest clients are nonprofits, right?
7:47 So they're pensions, endowments, foundations, sovereign wealth funds.
7:50 All these people don't pay tax.
7:52 So they are not at all focused
7:54 on the taxable element and if you're an individual,
7:58 uh you're paying, especially in this state,
8:00 uh you're paying 50 plus percent tax.
8:02 So the easiest alpha, to use a, you know,
8:05 an investment term to get is a tax alpha, right?
8:09 And they are not, these institutional asset managers,
8:11 because most of their clients are not taxable,
8:13 they're not even attempting to to optimize after-tax return.
8:17 In fact, you could even argue that from a fiduciary perspective,
8:21 they're not allowed to optimize after-tax return because they're
8:24 the vast majority of their clients care about pre-tax return.
8:28 So they're structurally not able to serve you.
8:30 So there's this weird no man's land where you have you know,
8:34 taxable individuals that have and deserve
8:36 and sort of an institutional quality portfolio build
8:40 and an asset allocation and yet neither
8:44 of the two standard channels really really deliver that.
8:46 And I I would add in sort of subscale endowments and foundations also
8:50 in the mix because they they uh
8:53 while they uh can probably access the institutional,
8:56 they may be too small and they may be cut out of certain elements.
8:59 So having sort of a a different approach could also be useful for them.
9:03 Dave, who connected us and thank you to Dave for the connection,
9:07 he wanted to hear what you've
9:09 seen throughout the different generations of wealth.
9:13 I mean we've come a long way.
9:14 It was a lot of industrial, a lot of like big bank,
9:18 big kind of industry types of wealth built over long periods of time
9:23 to now what we're seeing and what is the bread and butter of a16z,
9:27 very fast wealth, billionaires, billion dollar exits very quickly.
9:31 And part of that is of course these different
9:35 cycles of innovation in AI and the proliferation around there,
9:38 but what have you seen throughout your career through
9:41 these different types and how has management changed alongside that?
9:44 No, it's super interesting and I think I can tell when I meet
9:48 a family what region they're from because
9:51 these waves affected different areas, right?
9:54 So the industrial wave was the Midwest.
9:57 If I meet a Chicago family and these are I'm gross generalizations,
10:02 but nonetheless, if I meet a Chicago family,
10:04 very often they've sold their business maybe one or two generations
10:08 ago and the family business has become managing the family's assets.
10:12 Mhm.
10:13 So, they're very well versed in all the terminology.
10:15 They understand the asset classes.
10:18 Uh and they ask pretty sophisticated questions around that and they're
10:21 very focused on the performance and so on and so forth, right?
10:25 So, I would put that as like one
10:26 of those earlier waves you're talking about, right?
10:28 And then you come to the West Coast and your point, it's more recent wealth.
10:32 Person who generated the wealth is the person you're interacting with.
10:35 And so, that person is going to have a lot of business savvy,
10:39 um intellectual insight into how things work.
10:41 So, they're going to be very curious about
10:43 this industry and about how to do things,
10:45 but they won't necessarily per se have an interest
10:48 in having studied it the way a multi-generational uh
10:52 family that had a industrial exit two generations ago
10:56 would have done because it's not their full-time job.
10:58 It's not their passion.
11:00 Right?
11:00 So, they're often facing the choice of either creating a single family office
11:04 which I think is very difficult and I can get into that or joining,
11:08 you know, a multi-family office.
11:10 And then when they join the multi-family
11:12 office uh they're facing a number of questions
11:16 that I think are are not obvious to answer which is what am I paying for?
11:20 What am I getting?
11:21 What do I want?
11:22 And because they're not necessarily knowledgeable about the industry,
11:25 they focus on they fall back on things they understand.
11:28 How quickly does someone answer my email?
11:31 Um how helpful are they when I'm in a pinch?
11:34 Which are important things, but not the only thing, right?
11:37 Assessing the investment performance is very
11:39 important because just a couple hundred
11:41 basis points of extra uh performance over the lifetime of someone could mean
11:45 hundreds of millions of of dollar more that they could then go
11:49 I don't create a charity to do something with or something like that.
11:52 So, that part I think is lost sometimes in the in the translation.
11:55 I want to get to the family offices point,
11:57 but I do remember when we were first talking,
12:00 there is a big difference between these other wealth
12:03 managers that do allure you with all the customer
12:06 service that kind of takes part and takes
12:09 you away from the actual performance of the portfolio.
12:11 So, what have you seen there?
12:12 Yeah, so this goes back to sort of that flat fee relationship
12:16 fee kind of arrangement which and that flat fee is an AUM-based fee.
12:21 Mhm.
12:21 So, if I'm selling you a bunch of services, why am I charging you an AUM fee?
12:25 Uh and you know, I sort of I like to make funny analogies.
12:29 One of One analogy is let's say you brought your car
12:31 to get your car fixed and the mechanic comes out and says,
12:34 "Well, to repair your car,
12:35 it's 10 basis points of your of your balance sheet." Like I mean,
12:38 I think we'd all react like what are you talking about, right?
12:40 There's an hourly wage.
12:41 You work 3 hours, multiply it by three, that's what you should pay me.
12:45 So, these services in my opinion should be fee for service, right?
12:48 But because that's of course less profitable than having an AUM-based
12:52 fee on someone's entire balance sheet um you you charge that fee.
12:56 You go through the motions of the investment management,
13:00 but you view that as a cost center.
13:02 And it like you do the services, right?
13:04 And so, that's why the portfolios often end up being sort of simpler uh and less
13:09 sophisticated because you you're not incentivized to invest
13:12 in building out the alternatives teams I mentioned.
13:15 Uh these are people who are hard to find.
13:17 You have to manage them in a different
13:19 way than you would a more junior resource.
13:22 Um and and you know, constructing these portfolios, the proof points take time.
13:27 You're building a VC portfolio.
13:29 You're not going to find out in two years whether it's done well, right?
13:32 You're going to find out in 10 years.
13:33 I don't know that um a lot of these firms have the patience for that, right?
13:36 So, uh for me what was very important and by the way,
13:40 if you don't build a professional investment team then you are
13:44 you by default have to invest in other people's investment firms, right?
13:49 So, it becomes a pure fund to fund approach.
13:52 And so, there's two dual layer of fees, so it's very expensive to do, right?
13:55 So, there are fallout implications
13:57 from not building an investment team in-house.
13:59 It forces you to become a fund of funds if you are going to do alternatives.
14:03 And so, that's a high fee uh kind of setup.
14:07 So, very important for me from the get-go here to sort of hire people that were
14:11 professional investors by trade first and and professional
14:15 investors have a very specific definition in my mind.
14:17 It's someone who at some point in their career was
14:20 paid purely based on the performance of their investments, right?
14:23 You Your investments are up 20% this year.
14:27 Here's your money.
14:27 Thank you very much, right?
14:29 Um if you have those kinds of people on your team you now
14:33 can underwrite your investments yourself or you
14:35 can go hire a third-party manager,
14:36 but you're not forced to just go down the third-party route.
14:39 And so, you can save a lot of embedded
14:41 fees for the things you decide to do yourself.
14:44 And I'm not suggesting you should do everything yourself cuz it's too hard.
14:48 There are too many things.
14:49 But there are certainly some things you can
14:51 do yourself and therefore really reduce the fee load.
14:54 So, you increase the alpha to the client because,
14:57 you know, you're you're not passing through these fees.
14:59 Like a standard sort of endowment style approach 50, 60,
15:04 70% alternatives on look-through basis, your fees will be 3 or 4% a year.
15:09 So, that's a huge headwind.
15:11 If you can get rid of some of that by having
15:13 a professional team in-house and not always just hiring third-party managers,
15:17 that can you know, maybe you cut that in half.
15:19 It's a couple hundred basis points of alpha right there.
15:21 So, the structuring is very important in my opinion how to do this right.
15:25 And then on the family offices point, family offices are taking off.
15:30 They're becoming a new hype wave.
15:31 They're They're all over the place,
15:32 but you're saying single family offices are very difficult.
15:35 Why is that and why should people avoid doing that as a first step?
15:39 Um I mean, the allure is cool.
15:42 I have my own family office.
15:44 But you know, what are you trying to accomplish?
15:46 So, if if what you're trying to accomplish is have someone help you a little bit
15:49 with your sort of financial reporting and all
15:52 that's you can call that a family office.
15:53 I guess the definition of a family office is very broad,
15:57 so it could include all sorts of things.
15:58 But if you're trying to build a multi-asset class portfolio,
16:01 global multi-asset class portfolio, you're going to need to hire a bunch
16:04 of these sort of professional investors I mentioned.
16:06 I don't know, you need five, six, seven of them.
16:08 Different asset classes.
16:09 You've got you know, you've got fixed income obviously,
16:13 stocks which are, you know,
16:15 more straightforward I say, but then you've got venture capital,
16:18 private equity, real estate, real assets, credit.
16:21 And all these things are specialties that require people.
16:23 So, how are you going to do that and pay
16:26 these people uh if your balance sheet isn't very big?
16:30 And I mean, billions, right?
16:31 Otherwise the compensation you're paying to this team is
16:34 eating up whatever benefit you might be getting, right?
16:37 The other challenge I found is that family
16:39 offices have real trouble retaining the talent.
16:42 Because, you know, you hire someone, they're ambitious, they have a career path.
16:46 The The principal of the family is signing up
16:49 really to be a manager of an asset management company.
16:52 That's really what they're they're signing up for.
16:54 I don't think many of them actually realize what they're signing
16:57 up for and I don't think they want to do that.
17:00 Right?
17:00 So, they don't want to manage me uh you know,
17:03 meet me daily or twice a week, let alone a broader team.
17:07 And so, it it's very difficult to attract the high-end professionals cuz they're
17:12 just going to be sort of in a vacuum often not meeting the principal.
17:16 So, it's a very um difficult thing to execute.
17:19 Some people do execute of course, but they have very large balance sheets.
17:22 Uh they have a long-term horizon and they're committed to building you know,
17:25 a properly a proper bench on their team, right?
17:29 Uh so, I think that's one issue.
17:30 The other issue is a lot of family single family offices you
17:33 hear that the motivation is they build it to keep the family together.
17:37 And and then you witness the statistics at least
17:40 show that when the patriarch or matriarch passes away,
17:43 very often the family office falls apart.
17:46 Either the investments are completely turned around
17:49 and the things are liquidated in a hurry that results in large losses by the way
17:54 where the beneficiaries that sometimes we buy those things.
17:58 Uh or or the the kids or the heirs take their money and go their own way, right?
18:01 So, the very sort of conceptual underpinning of why to create
18:06 a single family office seems to fall apart a lot, too.
18:08 So, there's multiple challenges with trying
18:11 to do a single family office, I think.
18:12 Again, it depends how you what you
18:14 want to execute with the single family office.
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19:46 At what level of wealth should people
19:48 start thinking about going the wealth management direction?
19:52 Wealth management as opposed to single family office.
19:54 Yeah.
19:54 Well, I mean for wealth management, of course there are firms that cater,
19:58 you know, from small amounts all the way to larger amounts.
20:00 But for a type of wealth management firm that I'm talking about,
20:04 the type we're building [clears throat] here
20:04 at Perennial that has a lot of investment expertise,
20:10 25, 50 million dollars would kind of be the minimum, really.
20:13 But but I would say it's really
20:15 more for the centimillionaires and billionaires who have,
20:17 again, you know, uh an institutional time multi-generational time horizon.
20:23 So, they're they're more like an endowment than they are like an individual.
20:27 [clears throat] How many families are you working with right now?
20:32 Uh well, we're purposely keeping it small.
20:35 Because another thing is we really want to be customized
20:38 uh and focused on the individual needs of the families.
20:41 What you'll find, again, in the industry is a lot of folks go by playbooks.
20:46 So, they'll categorize you as a certain type of family in terms
20:49 of your risk profile or your liquidity or your balance sheet.
20:52 And then there's a standard program that's put into place.
20:55 I'd say that's very common.
20:57 Right?
20:57 We don't want to do that.
20:58 We feel like the people we work
21:00 with are people who have multi-generational wealth anyway.
21:03 So, they're they should have a custom built asset allocation,
21:08 custom built investment program.
21:10 A lot of work around their concentrated stocks
21:12 often they come with a lot of concentrated stock.
21:14 And so, we built a team around that.
21:16 Uh and so, we only have a couple dozen families
21:18 that we work with in that sort of overarching quarterback of everything.
21:24 Right?
21:24 Is that the main difference between a16z Perennial and let's say an Iconic?
21:30 How does it fit within the broader theme of these Silicon Valley oriented firms?
21:35 Um I think the Silicon Valley oriented firms, for the most part,
21:39 again, are trying to be a full stack offering of all the services.
21:43 Um and so, you know, with a certain amount of revenue,
21:48 there's only so much you can build in-house, right?
21:51 So, a lot of these firms do not have professional investors.
21:54 So, I I often ask people as a quiz,
21:57 um how many professional investors do you think are in, you know, RIA XYZ?
22:03 And uh and people will answer I mean percent, right?
22:06 People answer me 20%, 50%, 30%.
22:10 But uh the number often is zero or one or two people.
22:15 Um and so, the that's the big difference
22:18 between us and then many of these other firms.
22:20 With so many large wealth creation events coming up,
22:24 SpaceX is rumored and reported to to have
22:27 nearly a two trillion dollar IPO incoming.
22:31 Yep.
22:32 One, what do you make of that?
22:34 And two, how do you prepare early
22:36 employees and founders for these large liquidity events?
22:40 Well, look, I think I think it'll be an interesting test
22:43 of the markets if they can sort of digest I mean,
22:45 that would be the largest IPO, you know, ever, right?
22:48 And so, for the markets to digest that would be really interesting to watch.
22:51 And I think there's a lot of other very large startups
22:54 waiting in the wings who will be watching this super carefully, right?
22:57 Because if it works for SpaceX, maybe it works for me.
23:01 Uh in terms of preparing, I think, you know,
23:03 again, if you're an individual with, you know, taxes, structuring your estate,
23:09 structuring your trusts is very important pre-IPO.
23:13 And then post-IPO, it's all about how do I diversify uh gradually?
23:17 And I would not purport or claim to know
23:20 more about SpaceX than someone that's worked there 20 years.
23:23 So, I would work with that person and ask them,
23:25 you know, what do you think the prospects of SpaceX are?
23:27 I would not go in suggest they dump SpaceX
23:31 100% immediately and go buy stocks and bonds, right?
23:35 Sure, part of their strategy should be to diversify,
23:37 but part of it should be to hold on to that stock
23:40 long-term and and think about how to maybe even monetize the volatility.
23:43 So, we've we've built some options programs and things like
23:46 that for people here to monetize these stocks that are volatile by nature.
23:50 And so, you can monetize that volatility without necessarily exiting the stock.
23:53 So, there's lots of interesting strategies you can do with someone
23:55 that has a concentrated stock solution a concentrated stock position.
23:59 It's just so interesting cuz I I think um I
24:04 I've talked to several people in LA pertaining to this IPO.
24:09 I've talked to Shawn Maguire of Sequoia who
24:11 they've invested billions into SpaceX and Elon companies.
24:15 And then I've also talked to engineers and I've
24:17 talked to people that have been at SpaceX.
24:19 One of the themes that I've seen throughout
24:22 this is that there are not enough wealth managers.
24:25 And there's not enough wealth managers
24:26 with this family office type of expertise, either.
24:30 And so, there's a little bit of like an incoming drought for a lot of demand.
24:35 And I know SpaceX is not only LA, but it's also Texas.
24:38 And there are definitely differences there.
24:41 But in terms of that, what do you make up of like where should they go?
24:46 Because a lot of these engineers and other
24:48 professionals there are not in this world,
24:51 they're ill-equipped to to assess the options.
24:54 And so, often they end up in places they shouldn't, in my opinion.
24:59 Um and so, the challenge for them is to even if this is not your passion,
25:03 please invest time enough to understand the space.
25:06 One of the things I always suggest to people is look at the pedigrees,
25:10 the education, uh the employment history of the people you're hiring.
25:14 Right?
25:15 If they've never really done, you know, been professional investors,
25:18 then don't look to that firm for professional investment advice.
25:21 Look to that firm for services.
25:23 Right?
25:23 So, I think just doing educating yourself enough about the industry is
25:28 a really important first step to even try to attempt to to, you know,
25:31 as often people say, they get a referral.
25:33 Oh, my buddy uses so-and-so and they're a nice person.
25:36 Okay, well, I'll go with that.
25:38 And and you know, I always like to make medical analogies
25:40 here because it sort of highlights how sort of, I guess,
25:43 ridiculous that decision-making process.
25:44 Let's say you needed a you have a horrible cancer and need a big surgery.
25:48 Are you simply going to ask your neighbor, "Hey,
25:52 uh you do you know some a good brain surgeon?" And they're like,
25:54 "Oh, yeah, you know, so-and-so down the road is a great brain" No, right?
25:57 You're going to go read the hospital reports and find out
26:01 which surgeons have done the surgery the most and, you know,
26:04 do the same thing here.
26:06 I mean, your your your wealth is the product of your life's work.
26:09 This is not some it's a very important thing.
26:12 So, invest the time, please,
26:13 to sort of understand what you're buying before buying cuz
26:15 I I'm at the receiving end of that a lot.
26:17 I see people they go somewhere and then they come to us.
26:20 Mhm.
26:20 And they say, "I don't like this." And you ask, "Well,
26:23 why did you pick that?" And the answer always is almost always is,
26:27 "Well, I I my neighbor or my friend or a colleague." Right?
26:31 So, so if if you have any influence
26:33 on this, tell people do just a little homework, right?
26:37 How easy is it or how hard is it to switch over to different firms?
26:42 Super hard.
26:43 Really?
26:43 And this is part of the the game.
26:47 So, um you're you're with a firm, you know, all your account numbers, you know,
26:52 all your wiring instructions,
26:54 they know all your different trusts, your trustees, your accountants.
26:57 So, when you are doing something, they'll report back to the accountant.
27:01 They'll you [clears throat] need to send money,
27:02 they'll do the wiring instructions for you.
27:05 The industry is set up to sort of trap you.
27:08 Right?
27:09 Even the large um uh the large custodian firms,
27:13 I don't know if you it's hard for people to realize
27:15 this, but if you're as an individual in these custodian firms,
27:19 uh you know, the brand names, I won't name any names, but you know who they are.
27:22 You can sort of do a lot of stuff yourself, self-initiate, self-service.
27:27 When you move under the RIA platform, those those features are disabled to sort
27:32 of keep you more um locked into that ecosystem.
27:34 So, it's very hard.
27:35 It's daunting.
27:36 And this is why there's such a race to be
27:38 the first uh um firm that someone that recently had liquidity.
27:44 The this is where the fight is.
27:45 Like, "I heard you had a liquidity you're about to have a liquidity event.
27:48 Me, me, me, pick me." Because once you've picked the person,
27:52 the odds of them moving again are extremely low.
27:56 Right?
27:56 And so, that's where the all the competition happens.
27:59 When they essentially onboard, I'm just so curious about this.
28:04 Like, what products do you show them?
28:07 And where are their Where are their barriers for like,
28:11 for instance, do you go into art?
28:13 Like, for like these typical portfolios, how do you set them up initially?
28:19 You said it's kind of like a gradual process,
28:21 but like what are all the offerings and how do you balance it?
28:24 It is a gradual process.
28:25 So, you know, I think we're a very open book and so,
28:29 we'll tell people frankly that they don't need
28:32 to necessarily put all of their assets with us, right?
28:35 Which again is not what most people in the industry will say.
28:38 Most people in the industry will say, "Hey,
28:39 you should put everything with me because otherwise
28:42 I won't have an insight on what you're
28:43 doing elsewhere and therefore I won't be able
28:46 to manage your things optimally." But that's not true.
28:48 You can have the firms communicate with each
28:51 other and I do this regularly, right?
28:53 But uh and and so, you you know, again, if you went to a traditional firm,
28:57 they would start with more of the stock and bond mix.
29:00 They might add a little bit of some sort of credit.
29:03 Um we sort of tend to work with people more in a linear
29:06 fashion acknowledging that their portfolio is going to change over time, right?
29:10 So, we're not focused simply on, you know,
29:13 exiting that position on day one, the the concentrated let's say it's SpaceX.
29:18 We're not just simply going to be like, you got to sell all of SpaceX.
29:21 It's okay, SpaceX, if you hold onto it for 20 years,
29:24 you know, here's what the outcome might look like.
29:26 By the way, we built a lot of tools to help forecast these kinds of things,
29:29 which is again empowered by the fact we
29:32 have professional investors who know how to do that.
29:34 Uh I mean, a lot of it I'm sorry to be repetitive,
29:36 a lot of it falls back to that.
29:38 And and then we we will do we will um customize based on their needs.
29:42 Like, so yeah, strange alternative strange,
29:45 unusual alternative asset classes are definitely part of the mix.
29:48 We have some clients who do a lot in the art space.
29:51 Um I'm not an art specialist,
29:53 but I know art specialists that can help you, right?
29:55 So, so we're very very flexible.
29:57 Um but the point is the whole mix of things has to make sense.
30:02 Mhm.
30:02 Right?
30:03 And so uh I'm not simply going to be
30:06 and this is where um giving advice is an important part.
30:09 A lot of again firms will present you alternatives.
30:11 They'll say you can do this or you could do that.
30:13 You tell me what you want.
30:15 And they're doing this for various reasons.
30:17 One, they may not actually have a strong opinion.
30:19 Two, uh it's liability.
30:21 If I tell you do this and you do it and then you're not happy,
30:24 well, I told you to do that.
30:25 If instead I gave you three options and you pick B,
30:30 I didn't pick B, you picked B, right?
30:32 So, so we're very much into giving advice.
30:34 We'll tell you, look, if you're going to put a lot of art,
30:37 you might want to counterbalance
30:39 that with this and that to make the whole portfolio work, right?
30:43 So, we sort of put ourselves out there,
30:45 but I think a lot of people have desire and hunger for that.
30:48 They really want they don't want to sort of have
30:50 to learn all these things and make the decision.
30:53 They want someone who tells them you should do this.
30:55 Again, let's use a medical analogy.
30:57 You know, I have cancer, you know, okay, you need to do a surgery, right?
31:02 Not well, you know, maybe you could do a surgery,
31:05 maybe you can drink some herbal teas.
31:07 You tell me.
31:08 Now, you wouldn't be satisfied with that with the physician.
31:12 Why is that okay here?
31:14 Right?
31:14 So, you want again a I think you want a a professional telling you no,
31:19 no herbal tea for you.
31:20 Like, the tumor's big.
31:22 Herbal tea is not going to work, right?
31:23 You need a surgery.
31:24 Right?
31:24 So, that's one of the things we pride ourselves in.
31:27 I'm so curious about your stance
31:30 on the current markets and the current market volatility.
31:34 So, one we have AI disrupting public markets,
31:37 but we also have wars and geopolitics and I don't know, oil.
31:42 And so, how do you manage through all this?
31:45 How do you provide assistance to the families, to your clients?
31:49 And one, are you actively managing their portfolios?
31:53 Two, are you helping them navigate through this because I'm sure
31:57 they're seeing their wealth go up and down in different directions.
32:00 Yeah, I mean, I always tell people one
32:01 of my favorite sayings is volatility is not the enemy, right?
32:05 A lot of people fret, volatility, I'm scared.
32:08 Um but if you have a deep balance sheet
32:10 and you've kept um your portfolio at least somewhat liquid,
32:14 volatility is a huge opportunity.
32:16 It's like a fat pitch, right?
32:17 And so, you get assets that go on sale.
32:21 You know, big equities, you know, stock markets every four,
32:25 five years, there's like a 40% drawdown, right?
32:28 Blue light sale.
32:29 You should have flexibility in your portfolio to take advantage of the blue
32:32 light sale and you should have your advisor call you up and go,
32:35 "Hey, these things are 40% off.
32:38 It's time to back up the truck." So, yes,
32:40 we do do very active um inner interaction with clients on that front.
32:45 How much do you like to put in cash
32:46 and real estate and all of these other kinds?
32:48 Real estate's actually for taxable individuals is a really
32:52 um very cool asset class because um it's uncor- So,
32:57 if you're let's again, you're SpaceX person, right?
33:01 You have a lot of stock market risk factor, right?
33:06 So, if you take real estate,
33:07 real estate's pretty uncorrelated to that, so it diversifies you.
33:11 And then a lot of wealth in this country,
33:14 a lot of wealthy families made their fortunes with real estate, right?
33:19 Including the president.
33:20 And why is that?
33:21 Because the the entire banking system
33:24 and taxation system was built around real assets.
33:27 When banks and and law and law all these laws were built in the '20s,
33:31 '30s, '40s, all there was was real assets, right?
33:34 People weren't there were no internet companies.
33:36 They were buying buildings, factories.
33:39 So, the tax code is very beneficial to real assets and you can therefore get
33:44 a solid teens return on a tax adjusted basis out of real assets and real estate.
33:51 So, from to me it's a very again, if you've got the ability to stomach
33:54 the illiquidity cuz buildings don't trade like stocks.
33:58 Um you should be holding a lot of those in your portfolio.
34:01 So, yes, it's a it's an important part.
34:03 And then cash or very liquid bonds,
34:06 um people don't like bonds for the return profile.
34:10 They say, "Well, why would I own this thing?
34:12 It returns 3 or 4%." And my answer to that is
34:16 you're not owning it for the 3 or 4%.
34:18 You're owning it because it gives you that flexibility.
34:20 It gives you that option value liquidate
34:23 that uh and go into something else very fast.
34:26 I remember during the the global financial crisis,
34:30 you know, I worked at a at a hedge fund.
34:31 The only thing we could sell was treasuries to raise money.
34:35 Noth- nothing else was trading.
34:36 So, having tre- a treasury kind of liquidity buffer, super important.
34:40 You can go sell those treasuries even when there's a horrible war or something,
34:44 someone will pay you cash for that.
34:45 In fact, they may pay you more than they
34:47 would have before because bonds is a safe haven asset.
34:50 You take that cash, you go buy the distressed asset, right?
34:54 We should talk about taxes.
34:55 Yes.
34:56 Taxes are probably one of the biggest talks around town,
35:01 especially in California.
35:03 Some people are like, "Oh, well, you made so much money,
35:05 like you get to choose where you live and if you want to live in California,
35:09 that's the purpose of making a lot of money." Some people will say,
35:12 "Oh, I made a lot of money.
35:13 I need to go somewhere else so I can save, you know,
35:15 a couple percentage points." And I don't know,
35:19 live somewhere for three, four years, something like that.
35:21 But what is your main stance on taxes and where
35:25 you live cuz we can also get into this afterwards,
35:28 but the billionaire tax bill, that definitely I mean,
35:31 I don't know if this was based on principle or like a little bit of a protest,
35:35 but I think it was over trill- a trillion dollars left the state of California.
35:40 So, how do you feel about taxes?
35:42 Well, I mean, no one loves paying taxes
35:44 unless they feel they're getting value for it, right?
35:46 And I think when you hear people complain about it,
35:49 it's I don't get value, right?
35:52 You know, my schools aren't great, the roads are in disrepair, whatever.
35:55 You hear these complaints, right?
35:56 So, I don't think anyone's necessarily averse to paying
35:58 tax if they feel they're getting value for it.
36:01 And a lot of people who leave feel they're not getting value for it, right?
36:03 So, that's one.
36:04 Um two, there's a sense that the the revenues are mismanaged and I'm you know,
36:09 I'm not going to get into all the waste and fraud that happens,
36:13 but we all know a lot of that happens, right?
36:17 But there's a lot of and moving is a very draconian move, right?
36:20 Because your family, your your friends and all that.
36:23 So, some people can do that and and want to do that.
36:26 And by the way, it's not easy.
36:27 You have to sort of really move.
36:29 So, leaving your house here,
36:30 your main house and moving to Texas or Florida for for a year
36:34 or two with the intent of coming back doesn't qualify, right?
36:38 If you do come back after a couple years,
36:40 the tax authorities here say, "Look, you never sold your house.
36:43 You never had the intent of leaving the state,
36:45 so you owe us tax." So, you really have to sever ties.
36:48 Like, you have to get your you have to of course buy your principal residence,
36:52 sell your principal residence here.
36:53 You've got to register to vote.
36:55 You've got to have all your physicians there,
36:57 all that stuff to really prove to the state that you've
37:00 left and that you have no intention of coming back.
37:02 So, the move isn't easy and it's a draconian change.
37:06 Some people though, if you have a really big balance sheet,
37:08 it's worth it, right?
37:10 Um but there's a lot of things you
37:11 can do with your portfolio to mitigate tax, too.
37:13 So, before jumping to, you know, I'm going to move to Puerto Rico or whatever,
37:19 uh first think about how you structure your your investments, your portfolio.
37:22 So, there's all sorts of uh very clever ways
37:24 to use the qualified business uh tax exemptions, the QSBS.
37:29 So, you can create several trusts.
37:30 Each of those trusts gets the now $15 million exemption.
37:34 Before it was 10.
37:35 So, you can you can do that.
37:37 Married couples now can get both uh exemption.
37:41 So, there's a lot of things that if you do on that remember
37:43 we were talking about the pre- IPO on the pre- IPO prep,
37:46 you can do things to really mitigate tax a lot.
37:49 Uh then then you can use the proceeds and invest them in tax
37:52 advantage things like real estate um if it's managed the right way, that is.
37:57 A lot of real estate unfortunately is managed in a way
38:00 where the buildings are sold a lot and that generates tax.
38:03 But if you hold the buildings for a long time,
38:05 uh you can use the depreciation credits
38:07 and never pay tax on the income you're getting.
38:09 So, so there's a lot of things you can do like that um before you move.
38:13 And we spend a lot of time obviously thinking about that.
38:17 Pre-liquid event and post-liquid post-liquid event,
38:19 there's also a number strategies you can use to generate
38:23 losses um whether the market is up or down.
38:26 There's some sophisticated strategies that use leverage.
38:29 Using leverage is not always easy because
38:32 leverage can be dangerous on a portfolio.
38:35 Luckily, we have a couple people in our in our team
38:37 that worked at hedge funds and are used to leverage.
38:39 So, there are things like that you can do before the pull the plug,
38:43 I'm moving somewhere else.
38:44 But I see a lot of people moving though, to your point.
38:46 Really?
38:48 A lot of people moving.
38:48 In fact, there's been a bit of a boomerang.
38:50 Some people have moved and then come back because they they in their minds
38:54 they thought that saving several percentage points of tax was worth the move.
38:58 And then when they moved,
38:59 they for personal reasons they're like, "Look, I saved money,
39:03 but it wasn't the savings weren't worth the cost to me personally." Mhm.
39:07 Right?
39:08 And these are you can't it's very hard to predict how you're going
39:11 to feel when you move somewhere else
39:12 cuz you don't you've never lived there, right?
39:14 So, it's I think it's very It's a valid point.
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40:48 Chamath recently went viral for a tweet about capital losses
40:52 because of the destruction his SPACs have incurred on people.
40:57 What is your viewpoint on capital losses and how
41:00 do you use them to your point of offsets?
41:05 So, we use them a lot, right?
41:07 Capital losses are the are the core behind all
41:10 those sort of liquid strategies I mentioned you before,
41:12 the the leverage strategies and whatnot.
41:15 Um there's some nuances in the tax code like you can't use a loss
41:21 that comes to you personally unless you
41:23 happen to be a professional in that industry.
41:26 So, you can only use a small part of them.
41:28 So, the way to use a loss is inside a fund vehicle
41:32 that generates its own gains that can be offset by its own losses.
41:36 Then you don't have to worry about extracting the losses and putting
41:40 them on your personal balance sheet and not being able to use them.
41:42 So, if you owned a SPAC or something like that and it went to zero,
41:47 you may not be able to write that off, right?
41:49 But if it's sitting in a portfolio, in a fund structure, usually a partnership,
41:53 you're going to have other things inside that fund that are going to be
41:56 offsets naturally so that you can shield the total result of that fund from tax.
42:02 And that's exactly uh I think the right strategy for real
42:05 real assets and real estates where you you're generating these capital losses,
42:08 you're generating depreciation losses,
42:10 um and you use those to offset the income inside that fund.
42:14 And then the total you get at the end has been tax mitigated.
42:19 Right?
42:19 SPACs were a huge trend.
42:21 Secondaries have taken storm.
42:25 And so, with secondaries,
42:27 we're seeing not only lots of volume in secondary transactions,
42:30 which is good, I guess,
42:31 for growth investors cuz that was really quiet for a while,
42:35 but we're also seeing these multi-layered
42:37 SPVs proliferate and cause sometimes scams.
42:41 But in terms of secondaries,
42:42 what are you seeing and what are you advising your clients on with these?
42:46 So, it's it's a fascinating space, to your point.
42:49 Um it's a little bit like the comment I made
42:51 before where if you don't have professional investors on your team,
42:55 uh you have to build a fund of funds to invest.
42:58 It's the same idea with these these uh secondary vehicles.
43:01 I'd say be very, very careful what you're doing.
43:04 Um attorneys love to use this term "perfect your ownership interest." So,
43:09 I'd say we're going to use SpaceX again since we've been on SpaceX.
43:12 Let's say you've been working at SpaceX years and you create
43:16 your own Molly Corp and you put your SpaceX stock in that.
43:20 SpaceX doesn't want you, or most companies,
43:22 I don't know the particulars of SpaceX,
43:24 don't want you to transfer your stock to an external person, right?
43:27 So, what you do is you transfer it to your own
43:29 entity and then you sell shares in that entity other people, right?
43:34 And it's not very clear and and you often charge fees, right?
43:37 So, a lot I mean I mean it's sometimes quite egregious, to your point.
43:40 You're being paid 2, 3, 5% for the right to buy something.
43:45 Um but the problem is the stocks are sitting
43:47 in that entity and you are the manager of the entity,
43:51 the employee is the manager of the entity.
43:53 Um and so, they're the ones who ultimately,
43:55 even though they've written a promise saying when there's a liquidity event,
43:58 we'll sell the shares and hand you the the money,
44:01 uh I've seen personally in cases where um the stocks are
44:05 in that entity are sold by the individual managing the entity.
44:08 And they don't need their seek approval
44:10 from the people who invested in it, right?
44:12 So, be really careful when you go into these private entities.
44:15 Any private company has its own set of rules.
44:18 You can't sort of use intuition well, that's fair or not.
44:22 Whatever's written in the contract is what matters when you go into private.
44:24 So, and and the vast majority of the volume
44:27 goes through these sort of questionable SPVs.
44:31 Directly going on the cap table is what you should be trying to do,
44:35 but that's extremely difficult, right?
44:38 Obviously.
44:39 Right?
44:40 And so, that's where I would caution people really be very careful.
44:42 So, we spend a lot of time when we
44:44 see these things doing legal diligence, which is expensive.
44:47 You know, you're going to pay an attorney $20,000
44:50 to review this thing and make sure it's bulletproof.
44:53 Do you really want to do that if you're going to be putting,
44:55 you know, 500,000 into this?
44:57 So, um beware.
45:00 Will your clients take these SPVs to you to manage for them
45:04 or do they just kind of do them on their own?
45:07 We've helped a couple clients try to build some,
45:09 um but most of the time we're actually trying to build
45:13 one for our clients to get into a particular company.
45:17 Mhm.
45:16 Yeah.
45:17 Right.
45:17 It's been interesting to see.
45:19 I did an interview series at Anduril and one
45:22 of the questions I asked Marc Andreessen and Brian Schimpf,
45:26 the CEO, is there is like a dark pool of fake SPVs going around for Anduril.
45:33 And so, with those, are you just going into deep legal matters
45:36 and paperwork to backtrack and see if that is a viable vehicle?
45:40 Have you seen any issues into a full-on fraud before, but, you know,
45:44 the first thing we do is we pay a background check company to see,
45:48 again, using you as an example, did she actually work at SpaceX?
45:52 What did you, you know, So, that's step one.
45:54 A lot of people don't even do that, right?
45:57 Ask your friends and clients, how many of them have done run a background check
46:01 on the on the person running the The answer's going to be no one, right?
46:05 So, just to get this is back to my just do some
46:08 basic homework if you're going to do these kinds of things, right?
46:11 Or or get someone to do it for you.
46:13 Venture capital has gotten some heat for not having the best returns,
46:20 not being the best asset class.
46:22 How do you manage that kind of alternative within these portfolios?
46:28 What's your view on venture capital as an industry?
46:30 No, that's a great great great question.
46:32 No bias, of course.
46:34 Zero bias.
46:35 Zero bias.
46:36 Um look, if you look at the different
46:39 asset classes and the dispersion of returns, Mhm.
46:42 right?
46:42 Like the worst manager to the best manager,
46:45 venture is the biggest dispersion of all the asset classes,
46:48 like compared to private equity, credit, or hedge funds, or whatever.
46:52 And so, to your point, that means that who you pick is super important, right?
46:57 If if the dispersion was this narrow, it kind of wouldn't matter, right?
47:01 You you kind of know what you're going to get out
47:03 of that asset class and doesn't When the dispersion is this wide,
47:06 um and and the stock market performs,
47:08 by the way, somewhere in the middle of that.
47:11 If you pick the bottom half, to your point, well, that's a problem.
47:14 You should have just avoided the illiquidity,
47:16 avoid the fees, and bought, you know, QQQ or something.
47:20 Right?
47:20 And so, I think picking the right managers and and being exposed to right
47:24 um people there is more critical than in any any other asset class.
47:29 Um There's a couple of other interesting observations.
47:33 I'd say by and large,
47:33 the industry um has not tried to create entity value, right?
47:39 What do I mean by that?
47:40 They're often focused around one individual,
47:43 and if that individual leaves, the firm is gone, right?
47:47 Or the firm the firm will have to reinvent itself, right?
47:50 So, and because the person has their name on it, they're the only one there,
47:54 and they've not built sort of an institution around it, right?
47:58 And so, the longevity of that entity is questionable, and therefore,
48:02 it doesn't have entity value in and of itself, right?
48:04 Of course, the funds have value, but the entity itself doesn't.
48:07 And what's really interesting about a16z, personally for me,
48:10 one of the things that attracted me here, this firm has entity value, right?
48:14 There's a lot of people who own this firm.
48:16 Uh it's building, uh you know, a comprehensive set of products and services
48:20 across different asset sub-asset classes, right?
48:24 Be it crypto, AI apps, AI infra, whatever.
48:27 Um and it also has expertise around fundraising, HR, systems, go-to-market.
48:34 And so, the whole thing is highly valuable.
48:36 It doesn't just revolve around It's not 10 or 15 people with one person, right?
48:42 So, I would say if you're going to, you know, invest for the long term,
48:45 try invest in firms that are trying to create
48:47 entity value because that's a sign of longevity, right?
48:50 The firm's not going to disappear when
48:52 someone decides to hang up the cleats, right?
48:54 Um I think the other interesting thing is as um
48:58 the check sizes to to participate have gotten bigger,
49:02 um scale has become more important, right?
49:05 All asset management industries have some scale benefits to them.
49:09 Um venture traditionally had less and now has a lot, right?
49:13 So, if you're going to back a new AI startup,
49:17 you can't show up with a million-dollar
49:18 check or two-million-dollar check, but it's useless.
49:21 Or or let alone, you're going to build a an AI
49:24 chip where the tape out for one chip is $100 million.
49:29 And how are you going to participate in that, right?
49:31 So, you need to have large funds.
49:33 So, that's another thing I think all of a sudden it's become very clear that you
49:36 need to have there's been this dispersion
49:39 and you need to have a bigger fund, right?
49:41 What's the biggest lesson that you've learned from Mark and Ben?
49:47 The biggest lesson I learned from Mark and Ben.
49:53 Actually have an interesting one.
49:54 So one of the biggest lessons I've learned from Mark and Ben,
49:57 it's really interesting.
49:57 It's about how to build a team and how to work with people.
50:01 And they said something when I first got here that was interesting.
50:04 They said we don't hire people for lack of flaws.
50:10 We hire people for their their sort of their skills.
50:13 And it was really interesting to me.
50:14 At first I I didn't know what to make of this, but for a long
50:17 time I worked you know in a large management consulting company.
50:21 And my reviews were all about addressing my flaws, right?
50:25 So it's like well, they would gloss over the things I did well.
50:28 It was not even worth mentioning.
50:30 And it's just a list of things I had to fix all the time.
50:33 And it's actually an incredibly demoralizing kind of thing
50:36 cuz you you the things you did well, no one seems to care to mention.
50:41 And then you're always being told every year after year these are the 18
50:44 things you got to fix to make it to the next level, right?
50:47 Here we've it's completely turned on its head.
50:50 Like if you are great at something, let's let's celebrate that.
50:53 And we're all people,
50:54 so there'll be things we might not like with that, but that's fine.
50:58 We'll learn to live with that and and hopefully the balance is is good.
51:01 So there's there's there's this real embrace of you know,
51:05 the talents of people have.
51:06 And so as a result, everyone here at the firm which stunned
51:09 me is every function I meet people are really excellent at their function.
51:14 The the the amount of talent in this firm is mind-blowing.
51:18 And so it makes you really proud to be part of this of this place.
51:20 So that's the lesson I learned from Mark and Ben.
51:22 That's a great answer.
51:24 Hopefully.
51:24 Yeah.
51:25 Okay.
51:26 What's the biggest mistake people make with their wealth?
51:29 So I'll I'll restrict my answer to the biggest mistake
51:32 people make with their wealth to sort of founders Mhm.
51:36 of startups.
51:37 Um I think because they grew up
51:40 in the venture industry and in the private asset industry,
51:44 they automatically gravitate to that.
51:46 And so I'll see someone with their very
51:48 first liquidity their very very first liquidity,
51:50 they take it and instead of doing something
51:52 a little bit safe in case there's a rainy day,
51:54 they turn around and they go put it in a bunch
51:56 of like very early stage startups often referred to by their friends.
52:01 Right?
52:01 And and you just sort of sit there and you're like listen,
52:03 if you're going to do venture,
52:04 at least try to do it in a systematic way and not take you know,
52:09 80% of what you just got and hand it to your three friends.
52:12 And and almost almost always this ends in tears.
52:17 I'm being exaggerating, but very rarely do those outcomes happen the same.
52:22 And of course because the that individual who
52:24 made it their experience was one of success.
52:28 It's hard for them to sort of visualize
52:31 the statistics of the industry as a whole, right?
52:33 So they're they're they're they're expecting that they
52:36 do two or three of these things,
52:37 at least one of them will work and often none of them.
52:40 Right?
52:40 So that's the biggest mistake I see is like you you finally got some liquidity,
52:44 your hard work paid off.
52:45 And what do you go and put it back in another sort of highly uncertain,
52:49 highly liquid thing, right?
52:51 For those founders that come to you, they're post exit, they're liquid.
52:57 Do some of them want to start on their second or their third
52:59 company and how do you manage their portfolios to do that?
53:04 Many do want to start a second and third company.
53:06 Um especially nowadays, you're young.
53:09 Are you going to retire when you're 35 or 40 and not do anything?
53:12 I mean, I don't think anyone wants to do that.
53:14 So a lot of people want to do and so if if that's the goal,
53:18 we try to keep the portfolio actually more liquid because
53:20 their hope is that they can finance more of it themselves, right?
53:24 The idea is well, I did my first company and by IPO I owned 15% of it.
53:29 The next time I want to own 30% of it, right?
53:31 And so I'm going to bootstrap it and use my own capital more.
53:35 So we try to yes, is is a short answer.
53:38 We change how we would suggest the portfolio based on those on those desires.
53:43 A lot of founders though,
53:44 I think want to stick with their company very very long term.
53:46 They're not necessarily thinking you know, two years out I'm done.
53:50 Uh they want to stay along I mean, this is their baby.
53:53 They know it.
53:54 They've grown it.
53:56 So it's not necessarily I'm going to completely detach.
53:58 It's maybe my level and intensity will decrease.
54:04 Maybe I won't be CEO anymore.
54:05 Maybe I'll be chair or something like that, but flat out leaving,
54:09 I'd say it's kind of the exception.
54:12 You do see it, but yeah.
54:14 I want to do a quick fire on some macro.
54:18 Okay.
54:18 Okay.
54:20 Is private credit in a bubble?
54:21 There's several flavors of private credit.
54:24 One is sort of direct lending.
54:26 So the idea is FICO scores and things
54:29 like that aren't the best indication of credit quality.
54:33 Maybe we can develop a different way to assess credit
54:35 quality and we'll lend directly to an individual often, okay?
54:40 That stuff has been fairly resilient and in part because it's tranches out.
54:45 So they they they they sort of take the equity tranche,
54:48 sometimes called the first loss piece and they keep that on the balance sheet,
54:52 the issuer does and then the other pieces are sold.
54:54 So there's like a buffer, right?
54:56 If there's a few defaults, you're okay.
54:59 Right?
54:59 But there's more to sort of the the private credit lending
55:03 to companies and mainly sponsor backed
55:05 companies and when people say sponsor backed, they mean PE backed companies.
55:08 Um and remember the PE companies,
55:12 how do you PE coming private equity, they're equity investments, right?
55:16 So how do you maximize the return on equity?
55:19 Well, you use as little equity as you can, right?
55:21 So you you buy a company and you lever it as much as you can so that your equity
55:25 piece is small so that if the company improves
55:28 the the the return on equity is magnified, right?
55:31 And so you're purposely leveraging these companies quite highly.
55:36 And you're putting that into a vehicle
55:37 and people are investing into that leverage.
55:39 So if there's an economic headwind and those companies start
55:43 not being able to manage their debt that's a problem.
55:47 Right?
55:47 So at the end of the day the question of whether
55:50 or not private credit is in a bubble is really a question
55:52 of are we facing some sort of long-term slowdown or recession
55:59 whereby these companies can't service their debt the way they were before.
56:04 And that right now there's no indication of a slowdown in the economy really.
56:08 There's a few you know, there was a bit of a surprise on the employment report.
56:12 But but by and large the economy's growing you know,
56:15 the long-term trend for growth is not even 2%
56:18 and the the economy grows above that pretty regularly.
56:21 So right now and the huge capex boom around AI is propelling the economy.
56:25 So I don't know that there's an immediate sort of macro event
56:29 that causes these companies to not be able to to support their debt.
56:32 But it's a leveraged high risk strategy, right?
56:36 Is the IPO window open?
56:39 We're going to find out with SpaceX.
56:41 What about Open AI?
56:42 Whoever goes first.
56:44 Okay.
56:44 Who's going first?
56:45 I think SpaceX.
56:48 But it depends if Anthropic and Open AI
56:50 are going to have a heated competition even more.
56:53 Cuz I feel like they're in a battle right now.
56:55 And so that's a race.
56:57 But look, I mean companies are still able to raise large amounts
56:59 of money in the private markets as we've seen with Open AI and others.
57:03 So the pressure to go public is not as high
57:07 as it would be if they weren't able to, right?
57:10 And then as I mentioned before, I think VC funds,
57:13 growth equity funds have raised large funds.
57:15 So there's capital available to do these things.
57:18 Um Yeah, I mean it's surprising how large fund raises,
57:22 10, 20, 50 billion dollar fund raises happen overnight, oversubscribed.
57:28 So until that stops happening, there's you know,
57:31 less urge to IPO unless you get to a size
57:34 where the private market can't accommodate you anymore.
57:36 So it's in some paradoxical way, right?
57:39 If there's like a slowdown in the economy
57:41 and less excitement about these companies,
57:43 that's when they're going to be maybe more forced
57:46 to IPO because the private capital then won't be available.
57:50 I feel like Open AI already pushed the limits on how
57:53 much private capital they can extract with a 110 billion dollar round.
57:57 I can't imagine how many more But that was it.
58:01 No one thought before that that it would be easy to raise that sum anyway.
58:04 It was easy to raise it.
58:07 Okay.
58:07 What is your information and research diet?
58:10 What do you watch out for?
58:12 I'm kind of old school.
58:13 I like to read source materials.
58:16 I know nowadays, you know, people watch podcasts and things like that.
58:21 I I I like to read Fed data.
58:24 I like to read Fred the Federal Reserve Economic Database that you can get free.
58:30 Um I like to read quarterly reports from companies,
58:36 transcripts of the the analyst calls and those kinds of things.
58:39 So that's what I spend a lot of time looking at and reading.
58:42 And then of course, listening to my clients who
58:44 are in the know on the private private market side.
58:47 You do have a very good advantage there.
58:49 a great [laughter] great advantage there, right?
58:51 Right.
58:52 So you know, I I think of private investing,
58:54 there's like this two by two matrix which
58:57 is like it's access and it's diligence, right?
59:00 And so you know, we're in a real sweet spot here, right?
59:04 Cuz I have access or we have access or clients therefore have access
59:08 to all sorts of things because of the incredible network we have here.
59:11 And then the diligence, it's a large firm.
59:12 I can always find someone here that's worked with someone or knows
59:16 someone that's worked with or been on a board or in a startup.
59:19 So it's it's the amount of diligence I can do it it's it's very
59:22 quickly I can sort of assert whether or not this is a quality investment.
59:26 So on that two by two matrix, I like to think you know,
59:29 I'm lucky enough to be up here which is I'm not going to complain.
59:32 Very lucky.
59:33 Yeah.
59:33 As we close out, what are you most looking forward to this year?
59:37 So, there's been a big effort at the firm to be more outgoing with media.
59:42 Mhm.
59:43 And uh and this is part of that.
59:46 Amazing.
59:47 So, I'm very excited to to be out there speaking a bit more.
59:51 I mean, traditionally a lot of wealth management firms tried to operate
59:55 uh in multi families under a little bit under the radar.
59:58 Um but I think for me personally at least,
1:00:00 I I find that the way we set things up is so compelling and differentiated
1:00:04 that I'm very excited to sort of present it to the world more broadly.
1:00:07 So, that's Also, from what you've mentioned,
1:00:10 it's clear that there needs to be more real information
1:00:13 on these industries out there because there's a lot of traps.
1:00:15 Yep.
1:00:16 A lot of traps.
1:00:16 So, I'm my goal is to educate.
1:00:18 I I long time ago I wanted to be an academic.
1:00:20 I spent way too many years at Stanford.
1:00:22 I still enjoy teaching and educating people.
1:00:26 So, to to to me that's the biggest excitement of this job.
1:00:30 Amazing.
1:00:30 Well, I'm looking forward to that as well.
1:00:32 Thank you so much, Rochelle.
1:00:33 Thank you.
1:00:34 Appreciate it.
1:00:35 Hey, it's Molly.
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